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UFC Fight Night: Qatar
Nov 21, 2026• In 51 daysDoha, Qatar
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Aleksandre Topuria 2.9 SLpM, Santiago Luna 8.2 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Aleksandre Topuria 55%, Santiago Luna 54%
  • Damage Avoidance: Aleksandre Topuria 2.6 abs/min, Santiago Luna 3.8 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Aleksandre Topuria 33%, Santiago Luna 83%
  • Takedown Defense: Aleksandre Topuria 100%, Santiago Luna 50%
  • Submission Threat: Aleksandre Topuria —, Santiago Luna 0.8 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Aleksandre Topuria
Santiago Luna

Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Aleksandre Topuria
2-0UFC Record
Decision (100%)
Santiago Luna
2-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (38%)
Decision (38%)
Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense100%
Cardio & Endurance85%
Fight IQ95%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%
Grappling Efficiency83%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Aleksandre Topuria
Santiago Luna

Santiago Luna has a nasty memory to put behind him, while Aleksandre Topuria is finally back after a long stretch away. Luna's submission loss to Bryce Mitchell leaves a real question about his ground defense, and now this UFC Fight Night: Qatar matchup in Doha asks a pretty simple question: what comes next? Before Mitchell, Luna stopped Quang Le with punches to the head on the ground in round 1, then beat Angel Pacheco by unanimous decision. Mitchell caught him with an arm triangle from side control in round 3, so the rebound has a real grappling question attached.

Key Storylines
  • Luna returns after Mitchell caught him deep into round 3
  • Topuria brings consecutive UFC decision wins into his long awaited return
  • Luna's 74 inches against Topuria's 68: who gets to control distance?
Finishing Window

The fight is likeliest to open up in round 2, when repeated entries and exits start exposing the gaps between long range and close contact.

Topuria arrives with unanimous decision wins over Colby Thicknesse and Bekzat Almakhan, the latter his most recent appearance. Here's the thing: Luna has 74 inches of reach against Topuria's 68, and both work from an orthodox stance. That gives Luna more room to touch him from outside, but the space only matters if he can keep it when Topuria steps in or the action hits the fence. Watch the first clean entry, the hand fighting, and whether either man can leave an exchange without getting stuck in close.

Topuria's return and Luna's response to a tough loss are separate stories with the same pressure point: who gets to set the distance? The fun is watching those answers develop when fresh legs give way to hard rounds.

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Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna Stats Comparison

Age
30
•
22
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
•
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
•
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
68" (173 cm)
•
74" (188 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna AI Analysis

Pace delta

+5.3 significant strikes/min

Santiago Luna averages 8.2 significant strikes per minute while Aleksandre Topuria sits at 2.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Aleksandre Topuria and Santiago Luna, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Topuria vs Luna odds

Live Polymarket odds for Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Topuria vs Luna

Aleksandre Topuria vs Santiago Luna is on the UFC Fight Night: Qatar card on Nov 21, 2026 at Doha, Qatar. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Topuria vs Luna: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events