AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Valter Walker is hunting ankles like a maniac, and Marcin Tybura just became his next target. Walker has finished four straight fights with heel hooks, all in the first round. We're talking 54 seconds against Kennedy Nzechukwu, 77 seconds against Don'Tale Mayes, and most recently another first round heel hook at UFC 321 in October. The dude drops to the ground and suddenly everyone's limping out of the cage. It's wild to watch. Tybura's coming off a rough stretch though.
If Walker gets a hold of a leg in any scramble or exchange, this one's over fast.
He got absolutely starched by Ante Delija in Paris last September, eating ground and pound in just over two minutes. Before that, Serghei Spivac caught him in an armbar at 1:44 of the first round back in August 2024. The Polish veteran did show he's still got it with that doctor stoppage win over Jhonata Diniz at UFC 309, landing 153 strikes at an insane 82% clip. He also grinded out a decision over Mick Parkin in London. Here's the thing, Tybura's an experienced grappler with solid submission defense, but Walker's heel hook game is different. Everyone knows it's coming and they still can't stop it.
Tybura's got the striking to keep this standing, but one scramble, one slip, and Walker's diving for that ankle. The veteran needs to stay patient and use his range, because getting into a grappling exchange with this Brazilian is playing with fire. This is a classic striker versus specialist matchup. Can Tybura's experience and striking keep him safe, or does Walker add another victim to his heel hook highlight reel?
Marcin Tybura finish map

Marcin Tybura breakdown
Marcin Tybura's recent form
Valter Walker is hunting ankles like a maniac, and Marcin Tybura just became his next target. Walker has finished four straight fights with heel hooks, all in the first round. We're talking 54 seconds against Kennedy Nzechukwu, 77 seconds against Don'Tale Mayes, and most recently another first round heel hook at UFC 321 in October. The dude drops to the ground and suddenly everyone's limping out of the cage. It's wild to watch. Tybura's coming off a rough stretch though.
If Walker gets a hold of a leg in any scramble or exchange, this one's over fast.
He got absolutely starched by Ante Delija in Paris last September, eating ground and pound in just over two minutes. Before that, Serghei Spivac caught him in an armbar at 1:44 of the first round back in August 2024. The Polish veteran did show he's still got it with that doctor stoppage win over Jhonata Diniz at UFC 309, landing 153 strikes at an insane 82% clip. He also grinded out a decision over Mick Parkin in London. Here's the thing, Tybura's an experienced grappler with solid submission defense, but Walker's heel hook game is different. Everyone knows it's coming and they still can't stop it.
Tybura's got the striking to keep this standing, but one scramble, one slip, and Walker's diving for that ankle. The veteran needs to stay patient and use his range, because getting into a grappling exchange with this Brazilian is playing with fire. This is a classic striker versus specialist matchup. Can Tybura's experience and striking keep him safe, or does Walker add another victim to his heel hook highlight reel?

Valter Walker finish map

Valter Walker breakdown
Valter Walker's recent form
Pace delta
+1.6 significant strikes/min
Marcin Tybura averages 3.6 significant strikes per minute while Valter Walker sits at 2.0.
AI confidence
75%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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