AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Here's the thing about rematches: they hit different when the first fight was close. Piera Rodriguez and Sam Hughes ran it back in October 2022, and Rodriguez took a clear decision. Now they're doing it again at UFC Vegas 114, and both women have been on completely different paths since that night. Rodriguez has been grinding through some wars lately. She picked up back to back wins over Josefine Knutsson and Ketlen Souza, though that last one was a split decision that could've gone either way.
If Hughes is hunting that choke, rounds two and three are where she finds it.
Before that? A rough stretch with that DQ loss to Ariane Carnelossi from an accidental headbutt and getting caught in an armbar by Gillian Robertson. The Venezuelan has shown she can mix it up, landing 7 takedowns in her last fight and controlling over four minutes of cage time. Hughes, meanwhile, has been on an absolute tear. She's riding a three fight win streak, including a slick rear naked choke in Paris against Shauna Bannon back in September.
That submission game is real, and she's been winning fights even when the judges can't agree. She took split decisions over both Stephanie Luciano and Viktoriia Dudakova before that finish. The Fortis MMA product knows what Rodriguez brings after their first fight, and she's clearly evolved since then. This rematch feels like it's got higher stakes than the first time around. Rodriguez wants to prove that 2022 win wasn't a fluke, while Hughes is looking to settle the score and keep her momentum rolling into 2025.
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Piera Rodriguez finish map

Piera Rodriguez breakdown
Piera Rodriguez's recent form
Here's the thing about rematches: they hit different when the first fight was close. Piera Rodriguez and Sam Hughes ran it back in October 2022, and Rodriguez took a clear decision. Now they're doing it again at UFC Vegas 114, and both women have been on completely different paths since that night. Rodriguez has been grinding through some wars lately. She picked up back to back wins over Josefine Knutsson and Ketlen Souza, though that last one was a split decision that could've gone either way.
If Hughes is hunting that choke, rounds two and three are where she finds it.
Before that? A rough stretch with that DQ loss to Ariane Carnelossi from an accidental headbutt and getting caught in an armbar by Gillian Robertson. The Venezuelan has shown she can mix it up, landing 7 takedowns in her last fight and controlling over four minutes of cage time. Hughes, meanwhile, has been on an absolute tear. She's riding a three fight win streak, including a slick rear naked choke in Paris against Shauna Bannon back in September.
That submission game is real, and she's been winning fights even when the judges can't agree. She took split decisions over both Stephanie Luciano and Viktoriia Dudakova before that finish. The Fortis MMA product knows what Rodriguez brings after their first fight, and she's clearly evolved since then. This rematch feels like it's got higher stakes than the first time around. Rodriguez wants to prove that 2022 win wasn't a fluke, while Hughes is looking to settle the score and keep her momentum rolling into 2025.
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Sam Hughes finish map

Sam Hughes breakdown
Sam Hughes's recent form
Pace delta
+0.9 significant strikes/min
Sam Hughes averages 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Piera Rodriguez sits at 3.4.
AI confidence
83%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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