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UFC Fight Night
Oct 31, 2026• In 30 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Talita Alencar 2.9 SLpM, Piera Rodriguez 4.0 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Talita Alencar 37%, Piera Rodriguez 46%
  • Damage Avoidance: Talita Alencar 3.4 abs/min, Piera Rodriguez 3.1 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Talita Alencar 26%, Piera Rodriguez 50%
  • Takedown Defense: Talita Alencar 66%, Piera Rodriguez 81%
  • Submission Threat: Talita Alencar 0.6 per 15m, Piera Rodriguez —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Talita Alencar
Piera Rodriguez

Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Talita Alencar
4-1UFC Record
Sub (21%)
Decision (63%)
Losses (17%)
Piera Rodriguez
5-2UFC Record
Decision (78%)
Losses (22%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense66%
Cardio & Endurance82%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense81%
Cardio & Endurance81%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Talita Alencar
Piera Rodriguez

Piera Rodriguez and Talita Alencar bring three straight wins each into this one, so someone's hard earned momentum is about to get tested. Rodriguez last beat Sam Hughes by unanimous decision, while Alencar did the same against Julia Polastri. Neither is ranked, but this is exactly the kind of fight that can keep a good run moving or force a frustrating rethink. Here's the detail that gives this matchup some bite: both have a very different memory of facing Ariane Carnelossi.

Key Storylines
  • Both arrive with three straight wins, and neither wants to lose momentum.
  • Carnelossi connects their stories through a disqualification and a late submission.
  • Rodriguez's longer reach puts every entry under a brighter spotlight.
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to open up in rounds 2 and 3, when accumulated work at range and in close could start making entries and exits harder to manage.

Rodriguez was disqualified for a headbutt in round 2, while Alencar caught Carnelossi with a rear naked choke in round 3. Those results tell different stories, but sharing an opponent does not make this a simple comparison. The range question matters because Rodriguez has a reach of 63 inches against Alencar's 58. Rodriguez has to make that extra space count without giving away easy entries, while Alencar needs to close the gap without getting stuck outside.

And if they hit the floor, Rodriguez's round 2 loss to Gillian Robertson by an armbar from mount makes position a serious talking point. Both have recent wins that went the distance, so patience deserves as much attention as the first big exchange. The fun question is who can keep the fight in the spaces she wants once the clean opening exchanges turn messy.

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Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez Stats Comparison

Age
35
•
33
Height
5'1" (155 cm)
•
5'3" (160 cm)
Weight
115 lbs (52 kg)
•
115 lbs (52 kg)
Reach
58" (147 cm)
•
63" (160 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.1 significant strikes/min

Piera Rodriguez averages 4.0 significant strikes per minute while Talita Alencar sits at 2.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Talita Alencar and Piera Rodriguez, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Alencar vs Rodriguez odds

Live Polymarket odds for Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Alencar vs Rodriguez

Talita Alencar vs Piera Rodriguez is on the UFC Fight Night card on Oct 31, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Alencar vs Rodriguez: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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