Detailed breakdown favors Prates over Della Maddalena in Perth main event

An in-depth tactical analysis of the UFC Perth main event between Jack Della Maddalena and Carlos Prates suggests Prates holds the advantage. The analyst notes that while Della Maddalena's style works when he is the aggressor, Prates struggles when pressured and forced to move backward, as Ian Garry demonstrated. However, Della Maddalena lacks Garry's kicking skills and footwork, forcing him to rely on boxing for distance control, which creates risk of counter strikes. The analysis highlights that even if Della Maddalena wins early rounds, Prates remains dangerous until the final seconds, citing Garry's near-knockout in the fifth round. The analyst questions whether Della Maddalena can maintain perfect defensive discipline for 25 minutes against an opponent who landed cleanly even on Belal Muhammad. The piece concludes that Della Maddalena's only path to victory requires pressuring Prates for the entire fight while maintaining flawless defense, which the analyst finds unlikely, predicting a Prates victory.