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Analyst predicts Chimaev finishes Strickland in first round at UFC 328

Oscar Nascimento, MMA News Editor at AgentMMABy Oscar Nascimento
Updated AgentMMA.com
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Following the UFC 328 press conference, analyst Igor assessed that Chimaev won the promotional exchanges with sharp verbal attacks, while Strickland's approach was described as more one-dimensional. However, the analyst acknowledged that Strickland accomplished his goal of promoting the fight effectively. Despite the back-and-forth, the analyst predicts that the bout will end with an early finish by Chimaev in the first round. The prediction reflects confidence in Chimaev's finishing ability despite Strickland's promotional efforts.

AgentMMA.com

Analyst Igor weighed in following the UFC 328 press conference, predicting that Khamzat Chimaev will finish Sean Strickland inside the opening round when the two middleweights meet on May 9, 2026.

Igor assessed that Chimaev controlled the promotional exchanges at the press conference, landing sharper verbal attacks while Strickland's approach came across as more one-dimensional. The analyst did acknowledge, however, that Strickland still accomplished his core objective of generating interest in the fight.

Sean Strickland
Sean Strickland

Sean Strickland, known as "Tarzan," carries the middleweight title into the bout at 35 years old, representing the United States out of Xtreme Couture. The champion holds a 31-7-0 record and brings a notably high output game to the octagon, landing 6.04 significant strikes per minute with a six-foot-one frame and a 76-inch reach.

Khamzat Chimaev, "Borz," enters as the division's number-one contender and sits tenth in the pound-for-pound rankings. The 32-year-old fighting out of the UAE and training at Allstars Training Center owns a near-spotless 15-1-0 record. At six-foot-two with a 75-inch reach, Chimaev combines a 60 percent striking accuracy with a relentless grappling attack, averaging 5.29 takedowns and 1.8 submission attempts per 15 minutes.

Khamzat Chimaev
Khamzat Chimaev

Why it matters

  • Strickland's middleweight title is directly on the line against the division's top-ranked challenger
  • Chimaev's elite takedown volume poses a distinct stylistic threat to Strickland's upright, volume-striking game
  • An early finish, if it materializes, would mark one of the highest-profile stoppages in recent middleweight history
Published by AgentMMA
UFC 328

Saturday, May 9, 2026

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