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NewsUFC 328

Rare occurrence: fighters with 8+ takedowns lose title fights at UFC 328

May 12, 2026, 1:45 AM
agentmma
Khamzat Chimaev

Khamzat Chimaev

A rare statistical anomaly occurred twice at UFC 328 when fighters who completed 8 or more takedowns lost their title fights. Historically, fighters who land 5+ takedowns in UFC title bouts win 81.08 percent of the time, while those with 7+ takedowns win 83 percent of the time. Khamzat Chimaev and Kai Asakura both defied these odds, completing 9 and 8 takedowns respectively yet losing their bouts. The analysis suggests this demonstrates that while high-level wrestlers maintain an 80 percent win probability, total well-roundedness remains superior, as wrestling is energy-intensive and highly dependent on health conditions and circumstances. The post argues that universalism in skillset trumps pure wrestling dominance at the elite level.

UFC 328

Saturday, May 9, 2026

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