Michael Jr. vs Gaston Bolanos

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Jun 20, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Michael Jr.

Record: 12-5-0

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Gaston Bolanos

Record: 9-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Michael Jr.

Gaston Bolanos

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Michael Jr.

Gaston Bolanos

Michael Jr. vs Gaston Bolanos AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Michael Jr. vs Gaston Bolanos

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Michael Jr.

KO/TKO (31%)

Decision (31%)

Losses (38%)

Gaston Bolanos

Decision (71%)

Losses (29%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense61%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency75%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Michael Jr.

Gaston Bolanos

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From opening bell, Michael Jr. can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 7.0 significant strikes per minute while Gaston Bolanos looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:1

Michael Jr.

Michael Jr. finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (31%)

Decision (31%)

Losses (38%)

Michael Jr. breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense61%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Michael Jr.'s recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Gaston Bolanos must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Gaston Bolanos owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (75%) but must solve the 61% sprawl from Michael Jr..

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Gaston Bolanos

Gaston Bolanos finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Decision (71%)

Losses (29%)

Gaston Bolanos breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency75%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ70%

Gaston Bolanos's recent form

Michael Jr. vs Gaston Bolanos Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'8" (173 cm)

•

5'7" (170 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

69" (175 cm)

•

69" (175 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Michael Jr. vs Gaston Bolanos AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.1 significant strikes/min

Michael Jr. averages 7.0 significant strikes per minute while Gaston Bolanos sits at 3.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Michael Jr. vs Gaston Bolanos stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Michael Jr.
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	2-3-0	2-3-0
Wins inside the distance	1 (50%)	1 (50%)
KO/TKO wins	1	1
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	12:20	12:20
Total strikes landed per min	7.22	7.22
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.25	0.25
Control time per 15 min	1:17	1:17

Gaston Bolanos
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	3-2-0	3-2-0
Wins inside the distance	0 (0%)	0 (0%)
KO/TKO wins	0	0
Submission wins	0	0
Average fight time	12:05	12:05
Total strikes landed per min	5.25	5.25
Takedowns landed per 15 min	1.17	1.17
Control time per 15 min	1:55	1:55

UFC bouts only, as of October 18, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Michael Jr. 4/5, Gaston Bolanos 3/5.

Michael Jr. and Gaston Bolanos: common opponents

Michael Jr. and Gaston Bolanos have no common UFC opponents yet.

Previous meetings

Michael Jr.: Loss Decision – Unanimous · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Jun 2026

Michael Jr.: last 5 UFC fights

WinJooSang YooDecision – Split· UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Sep 2026
LossGaston BolanosDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Jun 2026
LossLuke RileyDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Mar 2026
WinLucas AlmeidaKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Oct 2025
LossBolaji OkiDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · May 2025

Gaston Bolanos: last 5 UFC fights

WinMichael Aswell Jr.Decision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · Jun 2026
LossQuang LeSubmission, R2· UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · May 2025
WinCortavious RomiousDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 2024
LossMarcus McGheeKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Jan 2024
WinAaron PhillipsDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · Apr 2023

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Michael Jr. and Gaston Bolanos, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Michael Jr. vs Gaston Bolanos.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Jr. vs Bolanos odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Michael Jr. vs Gaston Bolanos, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Jr. vs Bolanos

Michael Jr. vs Gaston Bolanos is on the UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi card on Jun 20, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Jr. vs Bolanos: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.