UFC 333
Oct 24, 2026In 65 daysAbu-Dhabi
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Arnold Allen 3.5 SLpM, Aaron Pico 3.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Arnold Allen 43%, Aaron Pico 44%
  • Damage Avoidance: Arnold Allen 3.1 abs/min, Aaron Pico 2.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Arnold Allen 60%, Aaron Pico 66%
  • Takedown Defense: Arnold Allen 73%, Aaron Pico —
  • Submission Threat: Arnold Allen 0.3 per 15m, Aaron Pico —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Arnold Allen
Aaron Pico

Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Arnold Allen
12-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (14%)
Sub (14%)
Decision (56%)
Losses (17%)
Aaron Pico
1-1UFC Record
Decision (67%)
Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency70%
Takedown Defense73%
Cardio & Endurance80%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%
Grappling Efficiency66%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Arnold Allen
Aaron Pico

Arnold Allen is stepping into a serious test against Aaron Pico at UFC 333 in Abu Dhabi. Allen's coming off a huge bounce back win over Melquizael Costa in May, going a perfect 7 for 7 on takedowns and grinding out a unanimous decision after dropping back to back losses to Jean Silva and Movsar Evloev. That Costa fight showed he's still got it, landing 156 strikes and controlling over nine minutes. Pico's riding his own momentum after beating Patricio Pitbull by decision in April, but everyone remembers that brutal spinning back elbow knockout loss to Lerone Murphy last August. That finish was nasty, caught him cold in the first round.

Key Storylines
  • Allen rebounded with perfect takedown performance against Costa
  • Pico still haunted by that Murphy spinning elbow knockout
  • Southpaw veteran versus orthodox Jackson Wink power
Finishing Window

If Pico's gonna get it done, it happens early before Allen starts mixing in those takedowns and grinding him out.

Here's the thing about this matchup. Allen's a slick southpaw who can mix it up anywhere, and that Costa fight proved his wrestling is legit when he needs it. Pico trains at Jackson Wink and brings that orthodox pressure, but he's only got two UFC fights under his belt compared to Allen's deep resume. The Englishman has been in there with killers like Max Holloway and Giga Chikadze. Pico's dangerous as hell, no question, but Allen's experience at this level is a whole different animal.

The technical battle comes down to Allen's ability to control range and mix in takedowns versus Pico's power and aggression. Allen showed against Costa he can land at a 70% clip when he's on, and that wrestling threat keeps guys honest. Pico's got to avoid getting dragged into deep water like Murphy did to him. This one's all about whether Pico can crack Allen early or if the Tristar product wears him down over fifteen minutes.

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Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico Stats Comparison

Age
32
29
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
5'8" (173 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
70" (178 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.4 significant strikes/min

Aaron Pico averages 3.9 significant strikes per minute while Arnold Allen sits at 3.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Arnold Allen and Aaron Pico, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Allen vs Pico odds

Live Polymarket odds for Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Allen vs Pico

Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico is on the UFC 333 card on Oct 24, 2026 at Abu-Dhabi. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Allen vs Pico: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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