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UFC 333
Oct 24, 2026• In 19 daysAbu-Dhabi
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Arnold Allen 3.5 SLpM, Aaron Pico 3.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Arnold Allen 43%, Aaron Pico 44%
  • Damage Avoidance: Arnold Allen 3.1 abs/min, Aaron Pico 2.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Arnold Allen 60%, Aaron Pico 66%
  • Takedown Defense: Arnold Allen 73%, Aaron Pico —
  • Submission Threat: Arnold Allen 0.3 per 15m, Aaron Pico —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Arnold Allen
Aaron Pico

Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Arnold Allen
12-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (14%)
Sub (14%)
Decision (56%)
Losses (17%)
Aaron Pico
1-1UFC Record
Decision (67%)
Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%
Grappling Efficiency70%
Takedown Defense73%
Cardio & Endurance80%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%
Grappling Efficiency66%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Arnold Allen
Aaron Pico

Arnold Allen against Aaron Pico was the kind of featherweight booking that made UFC 333 feel loaded. But fans will not see it on this card: Allen withdrew because he is still recovering from earlier treatments and did not have enough time to get ready. The report says this was not a new injury. That cancellation stings because both men had just answered rough nights.

Key Storylines
  • Allen withdrew while still recovering, so their UFC 333 matchup is off
  • Pico answered Murphy’s spinning elbow with a decision over Pitbull
  • Southpaw timing against orthodox wrestling remains an unanswered tactical question
Finishing Window

If they are booked again, the matchup could open up during a sustained scramble, once both men have to defend a serious wrestling entry.

Allen lost a unanimous decision to Jean Silva, then went the distance with Melquizael Costa and took a unanimous decision after repeatedly getting the fight to the mat. Pico was stopped by Lerone Murphy with a spinning back elbow in the opening round, then returned to beat Patricio Pitbull by unanimous decision. Allen is a southpaw who can stay measured on the feet and mix in wrestling when an opponent starts reaching, but Pico can get takedowns of his own and will not simply wait outside. Against each other, position would have mattered as much as any clean shot: Allen would need room to read the entries, while Pico would need to keep his attacks disciplined and make those exchanges count.

Fans were waiting to see whether a long scramble would favor Allen’s control or force him to deal with Pico’s pressure. If they meet later, those questions will still be there, but this is no longer an upcoming fight on this card. Pico has been reported to face Losene Keita instead, although the UFC had not formally announced that change when it was reported.

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Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico Stats Comparison

Age
32
•
30
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
•
5'8" (173 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
•
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
70" (178 cm)
•
70" (178 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.4 significant strikes/min

Aaron Pico averages 3.9 significant strikes per minute while Arnold Allen sits at 3.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Arnold Allen and Aaron Pico, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Allen vs Pico odds

Live Polymarket odds for Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Allen vs Pico

Arnold Allen vs Aaron Pico is on the UFC 333 card on Oct 24, 2026 at Abu-Dhabi. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Allen vs Pico: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events