UFC 331
Sep 19, 2026In 42 days
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Joshua Van 8.8 SLpM, Alexandre Pantoja 4.4 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Joshua Van 56%, Alexandre Pantoja 50%
  • Damage Avoidance: Joshua Van 6.4 abs/min, Alexandre Pantoja 3.9 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Joshua Van 63%, Alexandre Pantoja 47%
  • Takedown Defense: Joshua Van 81%, Alexandre Pantoja 69%
  • Submission Threat: Joshua Van —, Alexandre Pantoja 1.0 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Joshua Van
Alexandre Pantoja

Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Joshua Van
10-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (37%)
Decision (55%)
Losses (8%)
Alexandre Pantoja
14-4UFC Record
KO/TKO (12%)
Sub (35%)
Decision (35%)
Losses (18%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy56%
Grappling Efficiency63%
Takedown Defense81%
Cardio & Endurance81%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency72%
Takedown Defense69%
Cardio & Endurance77%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Joshua Van
Alexandre Pantoja

Alexandre Pantoja was on an absolute tear heading into December, wrapping up three straight title defenses with that signature rear naked choke against Kai Kara-France at UFC 317. Five straight wins with the belt on the line, three of them finished by submission. The Cannibal looked unstoppable, but then UFC 323 happened. Joshua Van earned his shot the hard way, rattling off five straight wins in the UFC including a decision over Brandon Royval at UFC 317. Before that, he knocked out Bruno Silva with ground and pound in the third round. Van's striking volume is crazy.

Key Storylines
  • Pantoja hunting his fourth straight title defense
  • Van riding five-fight win streak into title shot
  • Champion's suffocating grappling versus Van's striking volume
Finishing Window

If Pantoja gets this to the ground in the championship rounds, that's when the choke becomes inevitable.

He landed 127 of 169 against Rei Tsuruya with a 75% accuracy rate. The 24 year old from Myanmar had momentum and wasn't scared of anyone. Then came the shocker at UFC 323 in December. Van caught Pantoja early, finishing the champion in just 26 seconds of the first round with ground strikes. An arm injury to Pantoja played a role, but Van seized the moment and became the new flyweight king. He followed that up with another statement at UFC 328 in May, knocking out Tatsuro Taira in the fifth round with punches at distance.

Van landed 190 of 269 strikes in that fight with 71% accuracy, showing he can go five hard rounds and finish strong. Now the rematch is set for UFC 331 in Los Angeles on September 19. Pantoja wants his belt back and has been vocal about being ready for the challenge. Van, meanwhile, has been teasing that fans still haven't seen his full grappling game. He's confident he can submit Pantoja this time around, saying he expects to take the fight to the ground and finish it in the clinch or on the mat. The first fight ended too quickly for any real grappling exchanges, so this rematch should answer a lot of questions about Van's ground game against elite competition.

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Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja Stats Comparison

Age
24
36
Height
5'5" (165 cm)
5'5" (165 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
65" (165 cm)
67" (170 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja AI Analysis

Pace delta

+4.5 significant strikes/min

Joshua Van averages 8.8 significant strikes per minute while Alexandre Pantoja sits at 4.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Joshua Van and Alexandre Pantoja, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Van vs Pantoja odds

Live Polymarket odds for Joshua Van vs Alexandre Pantoja are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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