UFC 331
Sep 19, 2026In 42 days
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Mauricio Ruffy 4.2 SLpM, Arman Tsarukyan 3.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Mauricio Ruffy 58%, Arman Tsarukyan 50%
  • Damage Avoidance: Mauricio Ruffy 4.1 abs/min, Arman Tsarukyan 1.8 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Mauricio Ruffy —, Arman Tsarukyan 37%
  • Takedown Defense: Mauricio Ruffy 85%, Arman Tsarukyan 75%
  • Submission Threat: Mauricio Ruffy —, Arman Tsarukyan 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Mauricio Ruffy
Arman Tsarukyan

Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Mauricio Ruffy
5-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (69%)
Decision (17%)
Losses (14%)
Arman Tsarukyan
10-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (34%)
Sub (9%)
Decision (43%)
Losses (14%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy58%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense85%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense75%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Mauricio Ruffy
Arman Tsarukyan

This fight wasn't supposed to happen. Tsarukyan was set for a rematch with Charles Oliveira, but when Do Bronx pulled out in early August for personal reasons, the UFC pivoted hard. Enter Mauricio Ruffy, the Brazilian knockout artist who's been absolutely destroying people. Fans are buzzing because this matchup is pure chaos. Ruffy just starched Michael Chandler and Rafael Fiziev back to back with ground and pound finishes, and now he's stepping up to face one of the division's elite grapplers on six weeks' notice. Tsarukyan is coming off that slick arm triangle finish over Dan Hooker in Doha last November, showing he can still dominate on the mat when he wants to. Before that, he went to war with Oliveira at UFC 300, taking a split decision that had everyone talking.

Key Storylines
  • Ruffy replaces Oliveira after late August pullout shakes up card
  • Brazilian's back to back KOs of Chandler and Fiziev fuel hype
  • Tsarukyan's grappling versus Ruffy's finishing power creates classic clash
Finishing Window

If Tsarukyan can't get this to the ground early, Ruffy's power could make things real interesting in rounds two and three when the grappling exchanges get scrappy.

The guy's been on a tear since he knocked out Beneil Dariush in 64 seconds back in Austin. Meanwhile, Ruffy's riding this insane wave of momentum. That wheel kick KO of Bobby Green at UFC 313 was absolutely disgusting, and his decision win over James Llontop at UFC 309 showed he can actually fight smart when needed. Here's the thing though. Ruffy's only loss came against Benoit Saint Denis in Paris, where he got caught in a rear naked choke. That grappling vulnerability is exactly what Tsarukyan lives to exploit. The Russian's wrestling and top control are nasty, averaging over six minutes of control time in his recent wins.

But Ruffy's power is legit scary. He's finished his last three wins, all by ground strikes, which means he's dangerous even when the fight hits the canvas. This is a classic striker versus grappler battle with real stakes. Tsarukyan needs to prove he's still title material after the Oliveira rematch fell through. Ruffy's trying to crash the top five with one massive upset.

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Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan Stats Comparison

Age
30
29
Height
5'11" (180 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
75" (191 cm)
72" (183 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.3 significant strikes/min

Mauricio Ruffy averages 4.2 significant strikes per minute while Arman Tsarukyan sits at 3.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Mauricio Ruffy and Arman Tsarukyan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Ruffy vs Tsarukyan odds

Live Polymarket odds for Mauricio Ruffy vs Arman Tsarukyan are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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