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UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
Sep 26, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Alatengheili Alatengheili 2.7 SLpM, John Castaneda 4.8 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Alatengheili Alatengheili 31%, John Castaneda 51%
  • Damage Avoidance: Alatengheili Alatengheili 5.0 abs/min, John Castaneda 4.7 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Alatengheili Alatengheili 42%, John Castaneda 37%
  • Takedown Defense: Alatengheili Alatengheili 75%, John Castaneda 72%
  • Submission Threat: Alatengheili Alatengheili —, John Castaneda 0.3 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alatengheili Alatengheili
John Castaneda

Alatengheili Alatengheili vs John Castaneda AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Alatengheili Alatengheili vs John Castaneda

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Alatengheili Alatengheili
7-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (12%)
Decision (62%)
Losses (26%)
John Castaneda
5-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (15%)
Sub (15%)
Decision (31%)
Losses (38%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy31%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense75%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ70%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense72%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Alatengheili Alatengheili
John Castaneda

From opening bell, Alatengheili Alatengheili can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.7 significant strikes per minute while John Castaneda looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

Key Storylines
  • First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
  • Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
  • Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.
Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Alatengheili Alatengheili vs John Castaneda Stats Comparison

Age
34
•
34
Height
5'5" (165 cm)
•
5'6" (168 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
•
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
66" (168 cm)
•
71" (180 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Switch
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Alatengheili Alatengheili vs John Castaneda AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.1 significant strikes/min

John Castaneda averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Alatengheili Alatengheili sits at 2.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Alatengheili Alatengheili and John Castaneda, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Alatengheili Alatengheili vs John Castaneda.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Alatengheili vs Castaneda odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Alatengheili Alatengheili vs John Castaneda, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Alatengheili vs Castaneda

Alatengheili Alatengheili vs John Castaneda is on the UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos card on Sep 26, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Alatengheili vs Castaneda: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events