Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Jr.

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Sep 26, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Raoni Barcelos

Record: 22-6-0

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Raul Jr.

Record: 13-1-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Raoni Barcelos

Raul Jr.

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Raoni Barcelos

Raul Jr.

Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Jr. AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Jr.

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Raoni Barcelos

KO/TKO (14%)

Sub (14%)

Decision (48%)

Losses (24%)

Raul Jr.

KO/TKO (25%)

Sub (25%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (11%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense86%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency63%

Takedown Defense53%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Raoni Barcelos

Raul Jr.

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From opening bell, Raoni Barcelos can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Raul Jr. looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Switch stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Raoni Barcelos

Raoni Barcelos finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (14%)

Sub (14%)

Decision (48%)

Losses (24%)

Raoni Barcelos breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense86%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ85%

Raoni Barcelos's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Raul Jr. must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Raul Jr. owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (53%) but must solve the 86% sprawl from Raoni Barcelos.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:6

Raul Jr.

Raul Jr. finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (25%)

Sub (25%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (11%)

Raul Jr. breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency63%

Takedown Defense53%

Cardio & Endurance78%

Fight IQ85%

Raul Jr.'s recent form

Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Jr. Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'7" (170 cm)

•

5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

135 lbs (61 kg)

•

135 lbs (61 kg)

Reach

67" (170 cm)

•

67" (170 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Switch

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Jr. AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.6 significant strikes/min

Raoni Barcelos averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Raul Jr. sits at 2.1.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Raoni Barcelos and Raul Jr., then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Jr..

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Barcelos vs Jr. odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Jr., live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Barcelos vs Jr.

Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Jr. is on the UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos card on Sep 26, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Barcelos vs Jr.: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.