UFC Fight Night
Sep 26, 2026In 15 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Brady Hiestand 2.7 SLpM, Rinya Nakamura 3.1 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Brady Hiestand 50%, Rinya Nakamura 51%
  • Damage Avoidance: Brady Hiestand 3.8 abs/min, Rinya Nakamura 1.7 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Brady Hiestand 46%, Rinya Nakamura 81%
  • Takedown Defense: Brady Hiestand 42%, Rinya Nakamura 100%
  • Submission Threat: Brady Hiestand 1.1 per 15m, Rinya Nakamura 1.5 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Brady Hiestand
Rinya Nakamura

Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Brady Hiestand
3-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (27%)
Sub (27%)
Decision (27%)
Losses (20%)
Rinya Nakamura
4-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (42%)
Decision (42%)
Losses (17%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency51%
Takedown Defense42%
Cardio & Endurance81%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%
Grappling Efficiency81%
Takedown Defense100%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Brady Hiestand
Rinya Nakamura

Rinya Nakamura against Brady Hiestand is the kind of bantamweight fight that gets interesting fast. Nakamura answered the first loss of his career by folding Nathan Fletcher with a body kick almost as soon as the fight started. Hiestand arrives with three straight wins, including a late rear naked choke against Garrett Armfield and a ground strikes finish over Batgerel Danaa. Here is the thing. Nakamura has looked comfortable when he can read the distance, step into his left side, and fire clean shots from southpaw.

Key Storylines
  • Nakamura answered his first loss with a brutal body kick stoppage
  • Hiestand returns carrying three straight wins and real late fight danger
  • Southpaw timing meets pressure, scrambles, and a three inch reach gap
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to break open after the opening pace settles, when repeated pressure and scrambles start creating longer exchanges.

Hiestand has shown he can keep working deep into a hard fight, and his recent wins tell you he is dangerous once the action gets crowded and tiring. The range battle should be nasty. Hiestand owns the longer reach, so Nakamura cannot simply wait outside and expect every opening to come to him. But check this out. If Nakamura controls the first contact with kicks and straight punches, Hiestand may have to cross dangerous space before he can force clinches, scrambles, or long exchanges.

If Hiestand keeps the pace ugly, Nakamura has to stay sharp after the early burst fades. Neither man is ranked, but this feels like a real sorting fight at bantamweight. Everyone wants to know whether Nakamura's comeback was the start of another run, or whether Hiestand can turn his streak into his biggest statement yet.

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Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura Stats Comparison

Age
27
31
Height
5'8" (173 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
71" (180 cm)
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.4 significant strikes/min

Rinya Nakamura averages 3.1 significant strikes per minute while Brady Hiestand sits at 2.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Brady Hiestand and Rinya Nakamura, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Hiestand vs Nakamura odds

Live Polymarket odds for Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Hiestand vs Nakamura

Brady Hiestand vs Rinya Nakamura is on the UFC Fight Night card on Sep 26, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Hiestand vs Nakamura: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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