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UFC Fight Night
Sep 26, 2026In 3 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Rodolfo Bellato 5.1 SLpM, Christian Edwards 2.4 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Rodolfo Bellato 59%, Christian Edwards 50%
  • Damage Avoidance: Rodolfo Bellato 5.9 abs/min, Christian Edwards 2.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Rodolfo Bellato 35%, Christian Edwards —
  • Takedown Defense: Rodolfo Bellato 94%, Christian Edwards —
  • Submission Threat: Rodolfo Bellato 0.2 per 15m, Christian Edwards —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Rodolfo Bellato
Christian Edwards

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Rodolfo Bellato
3-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (77%)
Losses (23%)
No Contest (1)
Christian Edwards
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy59%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense94%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Rodolfo Bellato
Christian Edwards

Fans are still talking about Rodolfo Bellato turning half guard into a storm of punches in March. The stoppage came in round 1 and snapped a run that included a unanimous decision loss, a no contest after an illegal upkick, and a majority draw. Now Christian Edwards gets a chance to make the whole picture messy again. Edwards has only one recent fight in the supplied history, a split decision loss in May. That does not tell us everything about him, but it does tell us this is not a soft landing.

Key Storylines
  • Bellato brings fresh momentum after a violent round 1 stoppage
  • Edwards owns extra height, reach, and the southpaw angle
  • One man wants space, the other wants heavy top pressure
Finishing Window

This fight is most likely to break open late in round 1 or early in round 2, when repeated entries turn the clean range battle into tiring clinches and scrambles.

Bellato wants to build on a violent return, while Edwards needs to show that close defeat did not stall him. Here is the thing. Edwards is 77 inches tall with 78 inches of reach and fights southpaw, while Bellato is 75 inches in both height and reach and stands orthodox. The longer man needs to keep the center, touch Bellato with straight shots, and leave before pressure becomes a clinch or scramble. Bellato needs to cut off space, get chest to chest, and make his top pressure count.

We have already seen him land nasty punches from half guard and mount, so Edwards cannot relax after the first takedown attempt or any messy exchange along the fence. Both are unranked, which makes this a sorting fight with real urgency. The big question is whether Edwards can control range for 3 rounds, or whether Bellato can keep dragging him into the kind of ugly, physical moments he loves.

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Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards Stats Comparison

Age
30
27
Height
6'3" (191 cm)
6'5" (196 cm)
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
205 lbs (93 kg)
Reach
75" (191 cm)
78" (198 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.7 significant strikes/min

Rodolfo Bellato averages 5.1 significant strikes per minute while Christian Edwards sits at 2.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Rodolfo Bellato and Christian Edwards, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Bellato vs Edwards odds

Live Polymarket odds for Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Bellato vs Edwards

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards is on the UFC Fight Night card on Sep 26, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Bellato vs Edwards: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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