UFC Fight Night
Sep 26, 2026In 49 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Rodolfo Bellato 5.1 SLpM, Christian Edwards 2.4 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Rodolfo Bellato 59%, Christian Edwards 50%
  • Damage Avoidance: Rodolfo Bellato 5.9 abs/min, Christian Edwards 2.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Rodolfo Bellato 35%, Christian Edwards —
  • Takedown Defense: Rodolfo Bellato 94%, Christian Edwards —
  • Submission Threat: Rodolfo Bellato 0.2 per 15m, Christian Edwards —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Rodolfo Bellato
Christian Edwards

Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Rodolfo Bellato
3-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (77%)
Losses (23%)
No Contest (1)
Christian Edwards
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy59%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense94%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ90%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Rodolfo Bellato
Christian Edwards

Rodolfo Bellato is coming off a nasty first round knockout over Luke Fernandez back in March, where he unloaded punches from half guard until the ref had to step in. That's the kind of violence "Trator" brings when he's rolling. But before that? The Brazilian had a rough stretch with a decision loss to Navajo Stirling, a no contest against Paul Craig thanks to an illegal upkick, and a majority draw with Jimmy Crute. He's been in the Octagon with some tough dudes and knows how to survive wars.

Key Storylines
  • Bellato hunting another finish after that brutal March knockout
  • Edwards needs to solve the takedown defense puzzle fast
  • Brazilian's ground and pound could be the difference maker
Finishing Window

If Bellato gets top position in the first two rounds, he's shown he knows how to close the show with punches.

Christian Edwards is stepping in here with way less UFC mileage. His only recent showing was a split decision loss to Modestas Bukauskas in May, where he couldn't get any of his four takedown attempts to stick and spent over four minutes getting controlled. That's a tough way to make an impression, especially against a guy like Bellato who's proven he can finish fights when he smells blood. The matchup is pretty straightforward on paper. Bellato's an orthodox brawler who's dangerous as hell in top position, landing 64% of his strikes against Crute and showing he can pour it on when he gets you hurt.

Edwards is a southpaw who struggled with his wrestling against Bukauskas, which could be a problem if Bellato decides to take this to the mat. Bellato's got two finishes in his last handful of fights, both by ground and pound. This feels like a prove it moment for Edwards and a chance for Bellato to build some real momentum after that knockout in Vegas.

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Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards Stats Comparison

Age
30
27
Height
6'3" (191 cm)
6'5" (196 cm)
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
205 lbs (93 kg)
Reach
75" (191 cm)
78" (198 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.7 significant strikes/min

Rodolfo Bellato averages 5.1 significant strikes per minute while Christian Edwards sits at 2.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Rodolfo Bellato and Christian Edwards, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Bellato vs Edwards odds

Live Polymarket odds for Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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