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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
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Stephanie Luciano is coming off a massive performance in Vancouver where she locked up a rear naked choke against Ravena Oliveira in the third round. That submission win got everyone talking again after she dropped a split decision to Sam Hughes back in March. The Brazilian has shown she can hang in the UFC strawweight division, going 2 and 1 in her last three with some solid striking numbers and slick grappling when she needs it. Carol Foro is stepping into the Octagon for the first time, so we don't have any UFC tape on her yet. That makes this a tough one to break down because Luciano has been in there with legit competition and knows what it takes to get her hand raised under the bright lights.
If Luciano gets this to the ground in the second or third round, that's when her experience and submission game could take over.
Foro's got everything to prove and nothing to lose, which can make fighters dangerous. Luciano's game is pretty well rounded. She landed 80 strikes in that Vancouver fight and hit 3 of 4 takedowns with nearly three minutes of control time. When she beat Talita Alencar last August, she put up 87 strikes and kept it standing the whole fight. She's comfortable wherever the fight goes, and that experience edge could be huge here.
This is a classic veteran versus newcomer situation. Foro needs to make a statement in her debut, while Luciano is looking to build momentum and push toward that top 15. The Seattle crowd is gonna be loud, and we'll see if the new blood can handle the pressure or if the Brazilian keeps rolling.
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Stephanie Luciano finish map
Stephanie Luciano breakdown
Stephanie Luciano's recent form
Stephanie Luciano is coming off a massive performance in Vancouver where she locked up a rear naked choke against Ravena Oliveira in the third round. That submission win got everyone talking again after she dropped a split decision to Sam Hughes back in March. The Brazilian has shown she can hang in the UFC strawweight division, going 2 and 1 in her last three with some solid striking numbers and slick grappling when she needs it. Carol Foro is stepping into the Octagon for the first time, so we don't have any UFC tape on her yet. That makes this a tough one to break down because Luciano has been in there with legit competition and knows what it takes to get her hand raised under the bright lights.
If Luciano gets this to the ground in the second or third round, that's when her experience and submission game could take over.
Foro's got everything to prove and nothing to lose, which can make fighters dangerous. Luciano's game is pretty well rounded. She landed 80 strikes in that Vancouver fight and hit 3 of 4 takedowns with nearly three minutes of control time. When she beat Talita Alencar last August, she put up 87 strikes and kept it standing the whole fight. She's comfortable wherever the fight goes, and that experience edge could be huge here.
This is a classic veteran versus newcomer situation. Foro needs to make a statement in her debut, while Luciano is looking to build momentum and push toward that top 15. The Seattle crowd is gonna be loud, and we'll see if the new blood can handle the pressure or if the Brazilian keeps rolling.
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Carol Foro breakdown
Carol Foro's recent form
Pace delta
+5.2 significant strikes/min
Stephanie Luciano averages 5.2 significant strikes per minute while Carol Foro sits at 0.0.
AI confidence
76%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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