UFC Fight Night
Sep 5, 2026In 40 daysAccor Arena, Paris, France
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Nathaniel Wood 5.6 SLpM, Mairon Santos 3.5 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Nathaniel Wood 51%, Mairon Santos 46%
  • Damage Avoidance: Nathaniel Wood 4.3 abs/min, Mairon Santos 2.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Nathaniel Wood 48%, Mairon Santos —
  • Takedown Defense: Nathaniel Wood 73%, Mairon Santos 50%
  • Submission Threat: Nathaniel Wood 0.5 per 15m, Mairon Santos —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Nathaniel Wood
Mairon Santos

Nathaniel Wood vs Mairon Santos AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Nathaniel Wood vs Mairon Santos

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Nathaniel Wood
11-3UFC Record
Sub (22%)
Decision (60%)
Losses (18%)
Mairon Santos
4-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (50%)
Decision (50%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy51%
Grappling Efficiency59%
Takedown Defense73%
Cardio & Endurance80%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Grappling Efficiency50%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance81%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Nathaniel Wood
Mairon Santos

Nathaniel Wood is riding high right now. The Last Kingsman has rattled off four straight wins since that loss to Muhammad Naimov back in October 2023, and he's looked sharper with each outing. That split decision over Losene Keita in London this past March showed he can grind through tough spots, but it's the way he's been picking guys apart on the feet that's got people talking. Wood landed 101 strikes against Jose Delgado and put on a clinic against Morgan Charriere with 65% accuracy. The British crowd loves this dude. Mairon Santos is undefeated in the UFC and just knocked out Muhammad Naimov, the same guy who beat Wood.

Key Storylines
  • Wood's four fight win streak meets Santos' undefeated UFC run
  • Santos knocked out the same guy who beat Wood
  • Volume striker versus patient power puncher in Paris
Finishing Window

If Santos is going to land that fight-ending shot, it'll likely come in rounds two or three when Wood's volume starts piling up and openings appear.

That's the kind of result that makes you sit up and pay attention. Santos has finished two of his four UFC fights, including that nasty KO over Kaan Ofli in August 2024. The Brazilian's got serious power and he's not afraid to let his hands go. This is a huge step up in competition for him, but he's looked legit so far. Here's the thing about this matchup. Wood's volume striking and movement against Santos' power punching makes for a dangerous puzzle.

Wood's been landing 80 to 100 strikes per fight lately, working behind a slick jab and mixing in just enough wrestling to keep guys honest. Santos is more patient, waiting for his shot to land that one big punch. The question is whether Wood can stay out of danger long enough to pile up points, or if Santos catches him clean like he did Naimov. This fight's happening in Paris, and both guys are hunting for that next level. Wood wants to crack the rankings, Santos wants to prove he belongs with the division's best. Someone's hype train is getting derailed.

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Nathaniel Wood vs Mairon Santos Stats Comparison

Age
33
26
Height
5'6" (168 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
69" (175 cm)
72" (183 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Nathaniel Wood vs Mairon Santos AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.1 significant strikes/min

Nathaniel Wood averages 5.6 significant strikes per minute while Mairon Santos sits at 3.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Nathaniel Wood and Mairon Santos, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Nathaniel Wood vs Mairon Santos.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Wood vs Santos odds

Live Polymarket odds for Nathaniel Wood vs Mairon Santos are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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