Tony Ferguson vs Arman Tsarukyan

Main Event Brief

Updated Nov 1

agentmma.com

Tony Ferguson

Record: 26-11-0

agentmma.com

Arman Tsarukyan

Record: 24-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tony Ferguson

Arman Tsarukyan

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tony Ferguson

Arman Tsarukyan

Tony Ferguson vs Arman Tsarukyan AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tony Ferguson vs Arman Tsarukyan

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tony Ferguson

KO/TKO (13%)

Sub (25%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (38%)

Arman Tsarukyan

KO/TKO (38%)

Sub (8%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (15%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Takedown Accuracy35%

Takedown Defense66%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Takedown Accuracy34%

Takedown Defense75%

Last Opponents

Tony Ferguson

Arman Tsarukyan

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UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (13%)

Sub (25%)

Decision (25%)

Losses (38%)

Tony Ferguson breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%

Takedown Accuracy35%

Takedown Defense66%

Tony Ferguson's recent form

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Streak:6

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (38%)

Sub (8%)

Decision (38%)

Losses (15%)

Arman Tsarukyan breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy49%

Takedown Accuracy34%

Takedown Defense75%

Arman Tsarukyan's recent form

Tony Ferguson vs Arman Tsarukyan Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'7" (170 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

76" (193 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Tony Ferguson vs Arman Tsarukyan AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.1 significant strikes/min

Tony Ferguson averages 4.9 significant strikes per minute while Arman Tsarukyan sits at 3.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Tony Ferguson vs Arman Tsarukyan stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Tony Ferguson
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	0-5-0	15-9-0
Wins inside the distance	—	11 (73%)
KO/TKO wins	0	5
Submission wins	0	6
Average fight time	11:21	11:19
Total strikes landed per min	4.74	5.61
Takedowns landed per 15 min	0.26	0.39
Control time per 15 min	0:06	0:26

Arman Tsarukyan
Metric	Last 5	UFC career
Record	5-0-0	11-2-0
Wins inside the distance	4 (80%)	6 (55%)
KO/TKO wins	3	5
Submission wins	1	1
Average fight time	8:36	11:42
Total strikes landed per min	6.86	6.35
Takedowns landed per 15 min	3.14	3.25
Control time per 15 min	9:21	6:27

UFC bouts only, as of November 1, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Tony Ferguson 24/24, Arman Tsarukyan 13/13.

Tony Ferguson and Arman Tsarukyan: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

Opponent	Tony Ferguson	Arman Tsarukyan
Charles Oliveira	Loss Decision – Unanimous · Dec 2020	Win Decision – Split · Apr 2024
Beneil Dariush	Loss Decision – Unanimous · May 2021	Win KO/TKO, R1 · Dec 2023

Tony Ferguson: last 5 UFC fights

LossMichael ChiesaSubmission, R1· UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 2024
LossPaddy PimblettDecision – Unanimous· UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · Dec 2023
LossKing GreenSubmission, R3· UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 2023
LossNate DiazSubmission, R4· UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · Sep 2022
LossMichael ChandlerKO/TKO, R2· UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · May 2022

Arman Tsarukyan: last 5 UFC fights

WinMauricio RuffyKO/TKO, R1· UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · Sep 2026
WinDan HookerSubmission, R2· UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 2025
WinCharles OliveiraDecision – Split· UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · Apr 2024
WinBeneil DariushKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 2023
WinJoaquim SilvaKO/TKO, R3· UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · Jun 2023

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tony Ferguson and Arman Tsarukyan, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Ferguson vs Tsarukyan odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Tony Ferguson vs Arman Tsarukyan, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Ferguson vs Tsarukyan

Tony Ferguson vs Arman Tsarukyan is not currently booked on a UFC card, so there is no scheduled broadcast to watch yet. If the fight gets made, the event, date and venue appear on this page and the official broadcaster for your country is where to watch it.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Ferguson vs Tsarukyan: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.