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UFC Fight Night
Oct 31, 2026• In 11 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Tainara Lisboa 2.0 SLpM, Lucia Szabova —
  • Striking Accuracy: Tainara Lisboa 44%, Lucia Szabova —
  • Damage Avoidance: Tainara Lisboa 2.9 abs/min, Lucia Szabova —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Tainara Lisboa 31%, Lucia Szabova —
  • Takedown Defense: Tainara Lisboa 53%, Lucia Szabova —
  • Submission Threat: Tainara Lisboa 0.3 per 15m, Lucia Szabova —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Tainara Lisboa
Lucia Szabova

Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabova AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabova

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Tainara Lisboa
2-2UFC Record
Sub (33%)
Decision (33%)
Losses (33%)
Lucia Szabova
N/AN/A

N/A

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy44%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense53%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

N/A

Last Opponents

Tainara Lisboa
Lucia Szabova

An unbeaten fighter against an opponent trying to stop a skid is always worth a look, and Lucia Szabova against Tainara Lisboa has that tension built in. At Meta APEX, Szabova puts her clean record on the line while Lisboa tries to turn the page after consecutive defeats. Lisboa's last two losses explain why the ground exchanges matter so much here: Luana Santos caught her with a keylock from mount in round 2, and Melissa Croden stopped her with punches to the head from half guard in round 3. But reducing Lisboa to those setbacks misses something important.

Key Storylines
  • Szabova puts her unbeaten record under the lights at Meta APEX
  • Lisboa needs a reset after back to back ground defeats
  • Lisboa's own submission threat makes every scramble worth watching closely
Finishing Window

The fight is likeliest to open up from round 2, as repeated scrambles can leave less time to set defensive positions.

She has a rear naked choke win on her record and also beat Ravena Oliveira by unanimous decision. Watch who wins position after the takedown and who has to fight out of trouble. If Szabova takes the fight down, she needs to secure control before chasing anything; giving Lisboa room to turn or attack could change the whole exchange. Lisboa needs to make space, protect her arms and get off her back, while a chance to take the back would give Szabova something else to worry about.

The question is how Szabova handles those decisions against someone who has both won and lost in dangerous ground positions. Lisboa needs a response after those defeats, and the first scramble could tell us plenty about how that response looks.

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Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabova Stats Comparison

Age
35
•
28
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
•
—
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
•
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
67" (170 cm)
•
—
Stance
Orthodox
•
—
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabova AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.0 significant strikes/min

Tainara Lisboa averages 2.0 significant strikes per minute while Lucia Szabova sits at 0.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Tainara Lisboa and Lucia Szabova, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabova.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Lisboa vs Szabova odds

Live Polymarket odds for Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabova are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Lisboa vs Szabova

Tainara Lisboa vs Lucia Szabova is on the UFC Fight Night card on Oct 31, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Lisboa vs Szabova: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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