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UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker
Nov 7, 2026• In 5 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Johnny Walker 4.0 SLpM, Waldo Acosta 5.0 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Johnny Walker 55%, Waldo Acosta 47%
  • Damage Avoidance: Johnny Walker 3.0 abs/min, Waldo Acosta 3.4 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Johnny Walker 50%, Waldo Acosta 50%
  • Takedown Defense: Johnny Walker 57%, Waldo Acosta 69%
  • Submission Threat: Johnny Walker 0.7 per 15m, Waldo Acosta 0.1 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Johnny Walker
Waldo Acosta

Johnny Walker vs Waldo Acosta AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Johnny Walker vs Waldo Acosta

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Johnny Walker
9-7UFC Record
KO/TKO (41%)
Sub (6%)
Decision (6%)
Losses (41%)
No Contest (1)
Waldo Acosta
10-4UFC Record
KO/TKO (36%)
Decision (36%)
Losses (29%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%
Takedown Accuracy50%
Takedown Defense57%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Takedown Accuracy50%
Takedown Defense69%

Last Opponents

Johnny Walker
Waldo Acosta
Betting odds

Johnny Walker vs Waldo Acosta sportsbook odds

Waldo Acosta is the betting favourite at -195 (1.51), with Johnny Walker priced at +165 (2.65). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Johnny Walker

Implied 37.7%Line shortening
+1652.65

Waldo Acosta

FavouriteImplied 66.1%Line drifting
-1951.51

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

In his heavyweight debut, Johnny Walker knocked out Mick Parkin with a knee to the head from the clinch. That leaves Waldo Cortes Acosta with a nasty question going into their main event at Meta APEX. Once he slips Walker’s jab and gets close enough to land a hook, where does he put his head? Cortes Acosta knocked out Shamil Gaziev with a punch at range, then stopped Derrick Lewis with punches on the ground in his next fight.

Key Storylines
  • Walker’s heavyweight debut ended with a knee from the clinch.
  • Volkov and Blaydes both beat Cortes Acosta on every scorecard.
  • What if Waldo aims that jab at Walker’s chest?
Finishing Window

The opening round could get lively on the break from the first clinch, when both men have their hands free and neither is out of reach.

Since then, Alexander Volkov and Curtis Blaydes have both beaten him by unanimous decision. For Walker, the Gaziev finish is worth another look. Waldo was close enough to land clean while there was still daylight between them. Walker has 82 inches of reach to 78 for Cortes Acosta, so watch what Waldo aims at with his jab.

If he goes to the chest, he can make Walker give ground without having to chase his chin. If he reaches for the head and his feet trail behind, Walker can grab the back of his neck before that glove makes it home. Keep an eye on Walker’s feet if Waldo backs him toward the fence. A step to the side gives Walker room for his jab again, but if he stays put, the first man to dig an underhook has a chance to turn the other into the fence.

Johnny Walker vs Waldo Acosta Stats Comparison

Age
34
•
35
Height
6'6" (198 cm)
•
6'4" (193 cm)
Weight
205 lbs (93 kg)
•
260 lbs (118 kg)
Reach
82" (208 cm)
•
78" (198 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Johnny Walker vs Waldo Acosta AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.1 significant strikes/min

Waldo Acosta averages 5.0 significant strikes per minute while Johnny Walker sits at 4.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Johnny Walker vs Waldo Acosta stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Johnny Walker
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record2-3-09-7-0 (1 NC)
Wins inside the distance2 (100%)8 (89%)
KO/TKO wins27
Submission wins01
Average fight time7:166:35
Total strikes landed per min4.324.55
Takedowns landed per 15 min0.000.27
Control time per 15 min0:481:10
Waldo Acosta
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record3-2-010-4-0
Wins inside the distance3 (100%)5 (50%)
KO/TKO wins35
Submission wins00
Average fight time8:4311:32
Total strikes landed per min3.745.59
Takedowns landed per 15 min0.340.37
Control time per 15 min0:461:17

UFC bouts only, as of November 2, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Johnny Walker 17/17, Waldo Acosta 14/14.

Johnny Walker and Waldo Acosta: common opponents

UFC opponents both fighters have faced, with each result. Styles and timing change, so read these as context, not proof.

OpponentJohnny WalkerWaldo Acosta
Ryan SpannWin KO/TKO, R1 · Sep 2020Win KO/TKO, R2 · Mar 2025

Johnny Walker: last 5 UFC fights

  1. WinMick ParkinKO/TKO, R1· UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · Oct 2026
  2. LossDominick ReyesDecision – Split· UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Apr 2026
  3. WinZhang MingyangKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Aug 2025
  4. LossVolkan OezdemirKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · Jun 2024
  5. LossMagomed AnkalaevKO/TKO, R2· UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · Jan 2024

Waldo Acosta: last 5 UFC fights

  1. LossCurtis BlaydesDecision – Unanimous· Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · Sep 2026
  2. LossAlexander VolkovDecision – Unanimous· UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · May 2026
  3. WinDerrick LewisKO/TKO, R2· UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · Jan 2026
  4. WinShamil GazievKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · Nov 2025
  5. WinAnte DelijaKO/TKO, R1· UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Nov 2025

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Johnny Walker and Waldo Acosta, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Johnny Walker vs Waldo Acosta.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Walker vs Acosta odds

Live Polymarket odds for Johnny Walker vs Waldo Acosta are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Walker vs Acosta

Johnny Walker vs Waldo Acosta is on the UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker card on Nov 7, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

Walker vs Acosta is on the main card, starting at Sat 8:00 PM (New York) / Sun 1:00 AM (London).

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Walker vs Acosta: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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