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UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker
Nov 7, 2026• In 2 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Carlos Calderon 4.8 SLpM, Austin Bashi 1.9 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Carlos Calderon 42%, Austin Bashi 42%
  • Damage Avoidance: Carlos Calderon 5.0 abs/min, Austin Bashi 2.3 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Carlos Calderon 33%, Austin Bashi 35%
  • Takedown Defense: Carlos Calderon —, Austin Bashi 63%
  • Submission Threat: Carlos Calderon —, Austin Bashi 1.4 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Carlos Calderon
Austin Bashi

Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Carlos Calderon
N/AN/A

N/A

Austin Bashi
1-2UFC Record
Sub (33%)
Losses (67%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%
Takedown Accuracy33%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy42%
Takedown Accuracy35%
Takedown Defense63%

Last Opponents

Carlos Calderon
Austin Bashi
Betting odds

Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi sportsbook odds

Austin Bashi is the betting favourite at -450 (1.22), with Carlos Calderon priced at +350 (4.50). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Carlos Calderon

Implied 22.2%Line shortening
+3504.50

Austin Bashi

FavouriteImplied 81.8%Line drifting
-4501.22

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Austin Bashi comes into this matchup after a unanimous decision loss to Jose Delgado, and the first question is how he resets. Carlos Calderon offers a different look with his taller frame and southpaw stance, but the measurements make this more interesting than a simple size story. Bashi has a reach of 70 inches against Calderon's 71 inches, so being taller does not automatically mean owning the distance. In his win over John Yannis, Bashi found a rear naked choke in the opening round.

Key Storylines
  • Bashi seeks a fresh start after his decision loss to Delgado
  • Calderon's taller frame hides a much closer battle of reach
  • Opposite stances make foot placement and clean entries worth watching
Finishing Window

The fight could open up late in the opening round, when repeated entries reveal whether either man can keep the distance he wants.

His losses to Delgado and Christian Rodriguez both went to unanimous decisions, putting a quick success alongside fights that demanded sustained work. That contrast makes his approach worth watching: can he create useful exchanges without forcing the action every time the first opening closes? Orthodox against southpaw puts lead foot position and the route into range right at the heart of this one. For Bashi, closing space needs to mean getting somewhere useful, whether he stays upright or looks to take the fight down.

Calderon's job is to make those approaches awkward and keep enough room to reset his feet, rather than relying on height alone. The big question is who can keep choosing where the exchanges happen as the pace builds. An early opening matters less if the next exchange immediately puts you back in trouble.

Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi Stats Comparison

Age
30
•
25
Height
5'11" (180 cm)
•
5'6" (168 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
•
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
71" (180 cm)
•
70" (178 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.0 significant strikes/min

Carlos Calderon averages 4.8 significant strikes per minute while Austin Bashi sits at 1.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Carlos Calderon and Austin Bashi, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Calderon vs Bashi odds

Live Polymarket odds for Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Calderon vs Bashi

Carlos Calderon vs Austin Bashi is on the UFC Fight Night: Cortes-Acosta vs. Walker card on Nov 7, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Calderon vs Bashi: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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