Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland

May 9, 2026Newark, New Jersey, USA

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Joel Alvarez

Record: 23-5-0

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Yaroslav Amosov

Record: 30-1-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Joel Alvarez

Yaroslav Amosov

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Joel Alvarez

Yaroslav Amosov

Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Joel Alvarez

KO/TKO (38%)

Sub (28%)

Decision (9%)

Losses (25%)

Yaroslav Amosov

Sub (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense48%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency67%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ90%

Last Opponents

Joel Alvarez

Yaroslav Amosov

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From opening bell, Joel Alvarez can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.6 significant strikes per minute while Yaroslav Amosov looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Joel Alvarez

Joel Alvarez finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (38%)

Sub (28%)

Decision (9%)

Losses (25%)

Joel Alvarez breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense48%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ85%

Joel Alvarez's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Yaroslav Amosov must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Yaroslav Amosov owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (50%) but must solve the 48% sprawl from Joel Alvarez.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:2

Yaroslav Amosov

Yaroslav Amosov finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (100%)

Yaroslav Amosov breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency67%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ90%

Yaroslav Amosov's recent form

Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'3" (191 cm)

•

6'0" (183 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

77" (196 cm)

•

75" (191 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

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Contender

Key Insights: Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.8 significant strikes/min

Joel Alvarez averages 4.6 significant strikes per minute while Yaroslav Amosov sits at 2.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Joel Alvarez and Yaroslav Amosov, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Alvarez vs Amosov odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Alvarez vs Amosov

Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov is on the UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland card on May 9, 2026 at Newark, New Jersey, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Alvarez vs Amosov: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.