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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
This is a massive welterweight scrap between two guys trying to bounce back from tough losses. Brady just got knocked out by Michael Morales in the first round back in November, snapping his incredible run that included a guillotine finish of Leon Edwards and a five round war with Gilbert Burns. Buckley's coming off a decision loss to Kamaru Usman in June, but before that he was on an absolute tear. He stopped Colby Covington with a doctor's stoppage, knocked out Wonderboy Thompson cold, and beat Vicente Luque with ground and pound. Here's the thing that makes this fight so interesting. Brady's a grappling wizard out of Renzo Gracie Philly.
If Brady survives the first round exchanges and gets top position, or if Buckley catches him clean early like Morales and Belal did, this one ends before the final bell.
When he gets you down, bad things happen. Remember that kimura he locked up on Kelvin Gastelum? Nasty. He went 5 for 5 on takedowns in that fight and controlled him for over nine minutes. But Buckley showed against Nursulton Ruziboev that he can stuff takedowns when he needs to, going 4 for 4 himself and landing 113 strikes. The striking is where Buckley really shines.
That knockout power is legit scary, and he's got the southpaw angle working for him. Brady's been finished by strikes twice now, both times by punches at distance. That's gotta be in the back of his mind. But if Brady can get this to the mat and avoid the power shots, his submission game is elite level. This one's got fireworks written all over it.
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Unlock full analysisSean Brady finish map
Sean Brady breakdown
Sean Brady's recent form
This is a massive welterweight scrap between two guys trying to bounce back from tough losses. Brady just got knocked out by Michael Morales in the first round back in November, snapping his incredible run that included a guillotine finish of Leon Edwards and a five round war with Gilbert Burns. Buckley's coming off a decision loss to Kamaru Usman in June, but before that he was on an absolute tear. He stopped Colby Covington with a doctor's stoppage, knocked out Wonderboy Thompson cold, and beat Vicente Luque with ground and pound. Here's the thing that makes this fight so interesting. Brady's a grappling wizard out of Renzo Gracie Philly.
If Brady survives the first round exchanges and gets top position, or if Buckley catches him clean early like Morales and Belal did, this one ends before the final bell.
When he gets you down, bad things happen. Remember that kimura he locked up on Kelvin Gastelum? Nasty. He went 5 for 5 on takedowns in that fight and controlled him for over nine minutes. But Buckley showed against Nursulton Ruziboev that he can stuff takedowns when he needs to, going 4 for 4 himself and landing 113 strikes. The striking is where Buckley really shines.
That knockout power is legit scary, and he's got the southpaw angle working for him. Brady's been finished by strikes twice now, both times by punches at distance. That's gotta be in the back of his mind. But if Brady can get this to the mat and avoid the power shots, his submission game is elite level. This one's got fireworks written all over it.
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Unlock full analysisJoaquin Buckley finish map
Joaquin Buckley breakdown
Joaquin Buckley's recent form
Pace delta
+0.2 significant strikes/min
Joaquin Buckley averages 4.2 significant strikes per minute while Sean Brady sits at 4.0.
AI confidence
87%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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