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UFC Record Breakdown
Matt Schnell's had a rough go lately, dropping four straight including that brutal guillotine loss to Joseph Morales back in November. The Fortis MMA product is in serious must-win territory here. Meanwhile, Imanol Rodriguez just knocked out Kevin Borjas in Mexico City this past February, landing that finish in the second round. Rodriguez is riding high with momentum on his side. Here's the thing though. Schnell's losses tell a story.
Second round is where both guys have found their finishes, so expect the pace to pick up heavy after the feeling out process.
He got caught in guillotines twice (Morales and Durden), and ate knockout punches from Steve Erceg and Matheus Nicolau. But when he's on, like that decision win over Jimmy Flick in April 2025 where he landed 88 strikes and controlled nearly four minutes, he can still scrap. He's dangerous when he's not getting caught. Rodriguez showed real power against Borjas, landing 55 strikes before getting the finish. He mixed in a takedown too, showing he's not one dimensional. For Schnell, this is about survival in the UFC.
Another loss and we're talking about his future in the promotion. Rodriguez wants to build on that knockout and make a name off a veteran. The pressure's all on Schnell here. Can he stop the bleeding against a hungry fighter coming off a highlight reel finish? Or does Rodriguez add another body to his highlight tape?
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Matt Schnell breakdown
Matt Schnell's recent form
Matt Schnell's had a rough go lately, dropping four straight including that brutal guillotine loss to Joseph Morales back in November. The Fortis MMA product is in serious must-win territory here. Meanwhile, Imanol Rodriguez just knocked out Kevin Borjas in Mexico City this past February, landing that finish in the second round. Rodriguez is riding high with momentum on his side. Here's the thing though. Schnell's losses tell a story.
Second round is where both guys have found their finishes, so expect the pace to pick up heavy after the feeling out process.
He got caught in guillotines twice (Morales and Durden), and ate knockout punches from Steve Erceg and Matheus Nicolau. But when he's on, like that decision win over Jimmy Flick in April 2025 where he landed 88 strikes and controlled nearly four minutes, he can still scrap. He's dangerous when he's not getting caught. Rodriguez showed real power against Borjas, landing 55 strikes before getting the finish. He mixed in a takedown too, showing he's not one dimensional. For Schnell, this is about survival in the UFC.
Another loss and we're talking about his future in the promotion. Rodriguez wants to build on that knockout and make a name off a veteran. The pressure's all on Schnell here. Can he stop the bleeding against a hungry fighter coming off a highlight reel finish? Or does Rodriguez add another body to his highlight tape?
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Imanol Rodriguez breakdown
Imanol Rodriguez's recent form
Pace delta
+1.6 significant strikes/min
Imanol Rodriguez averages 5.7 significant strikes per minute while Matt Schnell sits at 4.1.
AI confidence
88%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Matt Schnell vs Imanol Rodriguez odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
