AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.


Holy shit, this is the fight everyone's been fantasy booking since Khamzat snatched that middleweight belt from Dricus back in August. You've got the new king of 185 calling out Poatan, who's been terrorizing light heavyweights for years. Chimaev just choked out Robert Whittaker in under four minutes and dominated DDP over five rounds to become champ. The dude's an absolute problem. Meanwhile, Pereira's been knocking people dead at 205, sleeping Jamahal Hill and Jiri Prochazka with that scary power, though he did drop a decision to Ankalaev before getting revenge with those nasty elbows in October. Here's what makes this matchup insane: Khamzat's relentless wrestling and suffocating grappling against Alex's legendary knockout power and kickboxing.
Borz has been ragdolling elite fighters (remember that D'Arce choke on Kevin Holland?), but Pereira's the kind of striker who can end your night with one shot. The size difference is real too, with Alex fighting at 205 and Khamzat coming up from middleweight. The big question is whether Chimaev can get inside on Poatan without getting his head taken off, and if he does get the takedown, can Alex survive on the ground like he did against Ankalaev? Khamzat's takedowns against Gilbert Burns and his submission game are legit dangerous. But Alex has been finishing dudes who thought they could stand with him. This would be for Khamzat's middleweight title, which is wild.
A light heavyweight champ dropping down to challenge the new 185 pound king. Legacy defining stuff if it ever happens. Both fighters remain unbooked for 2026 as the MMA world watches this potential super fight develop. Pereira's been openly campaigning for a heavyweight showdown with Jon Jones, while Chimaev recently fired back at Poatan's triple champ aspirations, making it clear he's interested in defending his belt against the legend.
UFC Record Breakdown
If Khamzat survives the first round without getting slept, things get really dangerous for Pereira once the wrestling takes over.

Khamzat Chimaev finish map

Khamzat Chimaev breakdown
Holy shit, this is the fight everyone's been fantasy booking since Khamzat snatched that middleweight belt from Dricus back in August. You've got the new king of 185 calling out Poatan, who's been terrorizing light heavyweights for years. Chimaev just choked out Robert Whittaker in under four minutes and dominated DDP over five rounds to become champ. The dude's an absolute problem. Meanwhile, Pereira's been knocking people dead at 205, sleeping Jamahal Hill and Jiri Prochazka with that scary power, though he did drop a decision to Ankalaev before getting revenge with those nasty elbows in October. Here's what makes this matchup insane: Khamzat's relentless wrestling and suffocating grappling against Alex's legendary knockout power and kickboxing.
Borz has been ragdolling elite fighters (remember that D'Arce choke on Kevin Holland?), but Pereira's the kind of striker who can end your night with one shot. The size difference is real too, with Alex fighting at 205 and Khamzat coming up from middleweight. The big question is whether Chimaev can get inside on Poatan without getting his head taken off, and if he does get the takedown, can Alex survive on the ground like he did against Ankalaev? Khamzat's takedowns against Gilbert Burns and his submission game are legit dangerous. But Alex has been finishing dudes who thought they could stand with him. This would be for Khamzat's middleweight title, which is wild.
A light heavyweight champ dropping down to challenge the new 185 pound king. Legacy defining stuff if it ever happens. Both fighters remain unbooked for 2026 as the MMA world watches this potential super fight develop. Pereira's been openly campaigning for a heavyweight showdown with Jon Jones, while Chimaev recently fired back at Poatan's triple champ aspirations, making it clear he's interested in defending his belt against the legend.
If Khamzat survives the first round without getting slept, things get really dangerous for Pereira once the wrestling takes over.

Alex Pereira finish map

Alex Pereira breakdown
Pace delta
+1.1 significant strikes/min
Alex Pereira averages 5.2 significant strikes per minute while Khamzat Chimaev sits at 4.0.
AI confidence
76%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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