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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Holy shit, this is the fight everyone's been fantasy booking since Khamzat snatched that middleweight belt from Dricus back in August. You've got the new king of 185 calling out Poatan, who's been terrorizing light heavyweights for years. Chimaev just choked out Robert Whittaker in under four minutes and dominated DDP over five rounds to become champ. The dude's an absolute problem. Meanwhile, Pereira's been knocking people dead at 205, sleeping Jamahal Hill and Jiri Prochazka with that scary power, though he did drop a decision to Ankalaev before getting revenge with those nasty elbows in October. Here's what makes this matchup insane: Khamzat's relentless wrestling and suffocating grappling against Alex's legendary knockout power and kickboxing. Borz has been ragdolling elite fighters (remember that D'Arce choke on Kevin Holland?), but Pereira's the kind of striker who can end your night with one shot. The size difference is real too, with Alex fighting at 205 and Khamzat coming up from middleweight.
If Khamzat survives the first round without getting slept, things get really dangerous for Pereira once the wrestling takes over.
The big question is whether Chimaev can get inside on Poatan without getting his head taken off, and if he does get the takedown, can Alex survive on the ground like he did against Ankalaev? Khamzat's takedowns against Gilbert Burns and his submission game are legit dangerous. But Alex has been finishing dudes who thought they could stand with him. This would be for Khamzat's middleweight title, which is wild. A light heavyweight champ dropping down to challenge the new 185 pound king. Legacy defining stuff if it ever happens. The problem? Both fighters are looking in different directions right now.
Pereira just doubled down on his heavyweight ambitions, making it clear he wants that third belt and potentially a showdown with Jon Jones. Meanwhile, Khamzat told ESPN he's planning one middleweight defense before making his own move up to 205, which could set up this super fight down the road. Chimaev's been vocal about the matchup though, telling media that Pereira is "running away" from him and claiming the champ isn't on his level. Bold words considering Poatan's knockout power. Joaquin Buckley even threw a $50K challenge at Khamzat, daring him to avoid wrestling in their potential matchup. The callouts are flying from all directions.
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Khamzat Chimaev finish map
Khamzat Chimaev breakdown
Khamzat Chimaev's recent form
Holy shit, this is the fight everyone's been fantasy booking since Khamzat snatched that middleweight belt from Dricus back in August. You've got the new king of 185 calling out Poatan, who's been terrorizing light heavyweights for years. Chimaev just choked out Robert Whittaker in under four minutes and dominated DDP over five rounds to become champ. The dude's an absolute problem. Meanwhile, Pereira's been knocking people dead at 205, sleeping Jamahal Hill and Jiri Prochazka with that scary power, though he did drop a decision to Ankalaev before getting revenge with those nasty elbows in October. Here's what makes this matchup insane: Khamzat's relentless wrestling and suffocating grappling against Alex's legendary knockout power and kickboxing. Borz has been ragdolling elite fighters (remember that D'Arce choke on Kevin Holland?), but Pereira's the kind of striker who can end your night with one shot. The size difference is real too, with Alex fighting at 205 and Khamzat coming up from middleweight.
If Khamzat survives the first round without getting slept, things get really dangerous for Pereira once the wrestling takes over.
The big question is whether Chimaev can get inside on Poatan without getting his head taken off, and if he does get the takedown, can Alex survive on the ground like he did against Ankalaev? Khamzat's takedowns against Gilbert Burns and his submission game are legit dangerous. But Alex has been finishing dudes who thought they could stand with him. This would be for Khamzat's middleweight title, which is wild. A light heavyweight champ dropping down to challenge the new 185 pound king. Legacy defining stuff if it ever happens. The problem? Both fighters are looking in different directions right now.
Pereira just doubled down on his heavyweight ambitions, making it clear he wants that third belt and potentially a showdown with Jon Jones. Meanwhile, Khamzat told ESPN he's planning one middleweight defense before making his own move up to 205, which could set up this super fight down the road. Chimaev's been vocal about the matchup though, telling media that Pereira is "running away" from him and claiming the champ isn't on his level. Bold words considering Poatan's knockout power. Joaquin Buckley even threw a $50K challenge at Khamzat, daring him to avoid wrestling in their potential matchup. The callouts are flying from all directions.
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Alex Pereira finish map
Alex Pereira breakdown
Alex Pereira's recent form
Pace delta
+1.1 significant strikes/min
Alex Pereira averages 5.2 significant strikes per minute while Khamzat Chimaev sits at 4.0.
AI confidence
76%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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