Analyzing fighters...
UFC Record Breakdown
Charles Jourdain is riding some serious momentum right now. After dropping back to back fights at featherweight, Air made the move down to bantamweight and hasn't looked back. He's rattled off three straight wins, including back to back guillotine chokes that had everyone talking. That standing guillotine he locked up on Victor Henry in Edmonton was nasty, and then he did it again from guard against Davey Grant. Most recently, he outworked Kyler Phillips over three rounds in Winnipeg this past April. Chito Vera is in a completely different spot.
If Jourdain can get this to the clinch or the mat, that guillotine threat becomes very real, but Vera's power could end things at any moment on the feet.
The Ecuadorian is staring down a three fight skid, all decisions. He got his title shot against Sean O'Malley at UFC 299 and came up short. Then he dropped close fights to Deiveson Figueiredo and Aiemann Zahabi, followed by another loss to David Martinez in Mexico City earlier this year. For a guy who was knocking on the door of the belt not too long ago, this is a rough patch. This matchup is all about timing and desperation. Jourdain's got slick submissions and he's feeling dangerous right now, while Vera needs to stop the bleeding in a major way.
Chito's still got that heavy striking and toughness that made him a problem for everyone at 135, but Jourdain's confidence is sky high. The Canadian has found something special with that guillotine, and you know he's hunting for it every time the fight gets close. For Vera, this is about proving he's still elite. For Jourdain, it's about announcing himself as a real threat in the bantamweight division.
Premium analysis preview is ready.
Unlock full analysisMarlon Vera finish map
Marlon Vera breakdown
Marlon Vera's recent form
Charles Jourdain is riding some serious momentum right now. After dropping back to back fights at featherweight, Air made the move down to bantamweight and hasn't looked back. He's rattled off three straight wins, including back to back guillotine chokes that had everyone talking. That standing guillotine he locked up on Victor Henry in Edmonton was nasty, and then he did it again from guard against Davey Grant. Most recently, he outworked Kyler Phillips over three rounds in Winnipeg this past April. Chito Vera is in a completely different spot.
If Jourdain can get this to the clinch or the mat, that guillotine threat becomes very real, but Vera's power could end things at any moment on the feet.
The Ecuadorian is staring down a three fight skid, all decisions. He got his title shot against Sean O'Malley at UFC 299 and came up short. Then he dropped close fights to Deiveson Figueiredo and Aiemann Zahabi, followed by another loss to David Martinez in Mexico City earlier this year. For a guy who was knocking on the door of the belt not too long ago, this is a rough patch. This matchup is all about timing and desperation. Jourdain's got slick submissions and he's feeling dangerous right now, while Vera needs to stop the bleeding in a major way.
Chito's still got that heavy striking and toughness that made him a problem for everyone at 135, but Jourdain's confidence is sky high. The Canadian has found something special with that guillotine, and you know he's hunting for it every time the fight gets close. For Vera, this is about proving he's still elite. For Jourdain, it's about announcing himself as a real threat in the bantamweight division.
Premium analysis preview is ready.
Unlock full analysis
Charles Jourdain finish map
Charles Jourdain breakdown
Charles Jourdain's recent form
Pace delta
+1.3 significant strikes/min
Charles Jourdain averages 5.5 significant strikes per minute while Marlon Vera sits at 4.2.
AI confidence
89%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
UFC Fight Night • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry • AI Insight Available
View UFC AI insight
Marlon Vera vs Charles Jourdain odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
