UFC 331
Sep 19, 2026In 53 days
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Casey O'Neill 7.9 SLpM, Eduarda Moura 2.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Casey O'Neill 52%, Eduarda Moura 37%
  • Damage Avoidance: Casey O'Neill 5.5 abs/min, Eduarda Moura 2.5 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Casey O'Neill 34%, Eduarda Moura 34%
  • Takedown Defense: Casey O'Neill 70%, Eduarda Moura 80%
  • Submission Threat: Casey O'Neill 0.7 per 15m, Eduarda Moura 0.4 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Casey O'Neill
Eduarda Moura

Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Casey O'Neill
6-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (40%)
Sub (13%)
Decision (27%)
Losses (20%)
Eduarda Moura
3-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (24%)
Decision (48%)
Losses (29%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense70%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy37%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense80%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Casey O'Neill
Eduarda Moura

Casey O'Neill is coming off a nasty first round knockout over Gabriella Fernandes back in March, landing those punches at distance that put her right back in the win column. Before that, she grinded out a unanimous decision against Luana Santos at UFC 305, showing she can go three hard rounds when needed. But here's the thing, she's had some rough patches too. That armbar loss to Ariane da Silva at UFC 296 and the decision against Jennifer Maia showed she's still got holes to patch up. Eduarda Moura brings a completely different vibe to this fight.

Key Storylines
  • O'Neill's knockout power versus Moura's grinding grappling style
  • Moura's recent win streak meets O'Neill's comeback momentum
  • Can the Scottish striker stuff takedowns for three rounds
Finishing Window

If O'Neill doesn't catch her early, expect Moura to turn up the wrestling pressure hard in rounds two and three.

She's been mixing it up between strawweight and flyweight, and just beat Lauren Murphy by unanimous decision in Nashville last July. That win was huge for her momentum. She also took out Veronica Hardy at UFC 309 and had that sick ground and pound finish over Montserrat Conejo Ruiz in Brazil where she went 3 for 3 on takedowns. The girl knows how to control a fight when she gets you down. This matchup is wild because O'Neill loves to stand and trade, throwing serious volume with that 50% plus striking accuracy we saw against Santos.

Moura's more about mixing levels, getting takedowns, and grinding you out with control time. Remember that Wang Cong fight where Moura racked up over eight minutes of control? She's patient and methodical when she gets her game going. O'Neill's got the power to end it early like she did against Fernandes, but Moura's wrestling could be the equalizer if she can drag this into deep water and make it ugly.

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Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura Stats Comparison

Age
28
32
Height
5'6" (168 cm)
5'6" (168 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
69" (175 cm)
67" (170 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura AI Analysis

Pace delta

+5.3 significant strikes/min

Casey O'Neill averages 7.9 significant strikes per minute while Eduarda Moura sits at 2.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Casey O'Neill and Eduarda Moura, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

O'Neill vs Moura odds

Live Polymarket odds for Casey O'Neill vs Eduarda Moura are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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