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UFC Record Breakdown
Cody Garbrandt is stepping into the cage with a serious point to prove after dropping back to back fights. The former bantamweight champ got submitted by Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 300, then lost a decision to Raoni Barcelos last June. Now he's facing Xiao Long, a young fighter who's coming off a loss himself but showed some serious power when he knocked out Quang Le in the third round back in November 2024. This is a classic crossroads fight for Garbrandt. He's still got that lightning fast boxing that made him a star, and when he starched Brian Kelleher in the first round at UFC 296, we saw flashes of the old No Love. But the losses are piling up, and at 35, he needs to start stacking wins. Xiao's only 1 and 2 in the UFC after losing a decision to SuYoung You in August, but that knockout power is legit.
Expect fireworks early when both guys are fresh and looking to land the big shot that changes everything.
He threw 198 strikes in that Quang Le fight, showing he's got volume and aggression. The technical matchup is interesting because both guys are orthodox strikers who like to bang. Garbrandt's speed and boxing fundamentals should give him the edge, but he's been getting caught lately. Xiao's younger, hungry, and probably sees this as his shot to make a name by beating a former champion. If Garbrandt's chin holds up and he can use his experience, he should control this. But one mistake against a guy swinging for the fences? That's how upsets happen.
What makes this fight even bigger is the platform. UFC 326 is making history by simulcasting on CBS, and this bantamweight scrap landed in that network television window. Both fighters get massive mainstream exposure alongside the Holloway vs. Oliveira main event on March 7 at T Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. For Garbrandt, it's a chance to remind casual fans why he was once champion. For Xiao, it's the opportunity to break through on the biggest stage of his career.
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Xiao Long breakdown
Xiao Long's recent form
Cody Garbrandt is stepping into the cage with a serious point to prove after dropping back to back fights. The former bantamweight champ got submitted by Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 300, then lost a decision to Raoni Barcelos last June. Now he's facing Xiao Long, a young fighter who's coming off a loss himself but showed some serious power when he knocked out Quang Le in the third round back in November 2024. This is a classic crossroads fight for Garbrandt. He's still got that lightning fast boxing that made him a star, and when he starched Brian Kelleher in the first round at UFC 296, we saw flashes of the old No Love. But the losses are piling up, and at 35, he needs to start stacking wins. Xiao's only 1 and 2 in the UFC after losing a decision to SuYoung You in August, but that knockout power is legit.
Expect fireworks early when both guys are fresh and looking to land the big shot that changes everything.
He threw 198 strikes in that Quang Le fight, showing he's got volume and aggression. The technical matchup is interesting because both guys are orthodox strikers who like to bang. Garbrandt's speed and boxing fundamentals should give him the edge, but he's been getting caught lately. Xiao's younger, hungry, and probably sees this as his shot to make a name by beating a former champion. If Garbrandt's chin holds up and he can use his experience, he should control this. But one mistake against a guy swinging for the fences? That's how upsets happen.
What makes this fight even bigger is the platform. UFC 326 is making history by simulcasting on CBS, and this bantamweight scrap landed in that network television window. Both fighters get massive mainstream exposure alongside the Holloway vs. Oliveira main event on March 7 at T Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. For Garbrandt, it's a chance to remind casual fans why he was once champion. For Xiao, it's the opportunity to break through on the biggest stage of his career.
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Unlock full analysisCody Garbrandt finish map
Cody Garbrandt breakdown
Cody Garbrandt's recent form
Pace delta
+2.3 significant strikes/min
Xiao Long averages 5.3 significant strikes per minute while Cody Garbrandt sits at 3.0.
AI confidence
79%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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