Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

Mar 28, 2026Seattle, Washington, USA

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Julian Erosa

Record: 31-14-0

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Lerryan Douglas

Record: 14-5-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Julian Erosa

Lerryan Douglas

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Julian Erosa

Lerryan Douglas

Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Julian Erosa

KO/TKO (15%)

Sub (30%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (33%)

Lerryan Douglas

KO/TKO (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%

Grappling Efficiency57%

Takedown Defense61%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy64%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Julian Erosa

Lerryan Douglas

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From opening bell, Julian Erosa can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 6.2 significant strikes per minute while Lerryan Douglas looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Julian Erosa

Julian Erosa finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (15%)

Sub (30%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (33%)

Julian Erosa breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%

Grappling Efficiency57%

Takedown Defense61%

Cardio & Endurance74%

Fight IQ75%

Julian Erosa's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Lerryan Douglas must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Julian Erosa brings the more polished entries (43%) while Lerryan Douglas relies on defensive frames (—).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Lerryan Douglas

Lerryan Douglas finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (100%)

Lerryan Douglas breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy64%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ85%

Lerryan Douglas's recent form

Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

•

5'9" (175 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

74" (188 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.5 significant strikes/min

Lerryan Douglas averages 8.7 significant strikes per minute while Julian Erosa sits at 6.2.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Julian Erosa and Lerryan Douglas, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Erosa vs Douglas odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Erosa vs Douglas

Julian Erosa vs Lerryan Douglas is on the UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer card on Mar 28, 2026 at Seattle, Washington, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Erosa vs Douglas: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.