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AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
UFC Record Breakdown
Casey O'Neill is looking to bounce back after a rough stretch, and Gabriella Fernandes is riding high with three straight wins. O'Neill's last outing was solid, taking a decision over Luana Santos back in August 2024, but before that she dropped two straight, including that brutal armbar loss to Ariane Lipski. The Scottish fighter's got that Xtreme Couture toughness, but she's been in some wars lately. Fernandes, meanwhile, just keeps winning. She choked out Wang Cong in Macau last November, and before that she grinded out decisions over Julija Stoliarenko and Carli Judice. The Brazilian's grappling is legit dangerous, and that Wang Cong win is aging well considering Cong has bounced back with two straight victories since.
If Fernandes survives the early striking pressure, rounds two and three are where her grappling could take over.
Here's the thing about this matchup: O'Neill throws serious volume. She landed 113 strikes against Santos and 137 against Jennifer Maia, just keeps the pressure coming. But Fernandes has shown she can hang in there and find openings. That rear naked choke over Wang Cong was slick as hell, locked it up late in round two. O'Neill's takedown defense has been solid lately, stuffing attempts in her last few fights, but if Fernandes gets it to the mat, things could get scary fast. The stakes are real for both.
O'Neill needs to prove she's still a contender at flyweight after those losses. Fernandes is trying to crack into the rankings with a fourth straight win. This one's officially locked in for UFC Fight Night 271, slotted as the fourth bout on the card. Fans are wondering if O'Neill's striking volume can keep the Brazilian at bay, or if Fernandes finds a way to drag this to the ground and work her magic.
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Casey O'Neill finish map
Casey O'Neill breakdown
Casey O'Neill's recent form
Casey O'Neill is looking to bounce back after a rough stretch, and Gabriella Fernandes is riding high with three straight wins. O'Neill's last outing was solid, taking a decision over Luana Santos back in August 2024, but before that she dropped two straight, including that brutal armbar loss to Ariane Lipski. The Scottish fighter's got that Xtreme Couture toughness, but she's been in some wars lately. Fernandes, meanwhile, just keeps winning. She choked out Wang Cong in Macau last November, and before that she grinded out decisions over Julija Stoliarenko and Carli Judice. The Brazilian's grappling is legit dangerous, and that Wang Cong win is aging well considering Cong has bounced back with two straight victories since.
If Fernandes survives the early striking pressure, rounds two and three are where her grappling could take over.
Here's the thing about this matchup: O'Neill throws serious volume. She landed 113 strikes against Santos and 137 against Jennifer Maia, just keeps the pressure coming. But Fernandes has shown she can hang in there and find openings. That rear naked choke over Wang Cong was slick as hell, locked it up late in round two. O'Neill's takedown defense has been solid lately, stuffing attempts in her last few fights, but if Fernandes gets it to the mat, things could get scary fast. The stakes are real for both.
O'Neill needs to prove she's still a contender at flyweight after those losses. Fernandes is trying to crack into the rankings with a fourth straight win. This one's officially locked in for UFC Fight Night 271, slotted as the fourth bout on the card. Fans are wondering if O'Neill's striking volume can keep the Brazilian at bay, or if Fernandes finds a way to drag this to the ground and work her magic.
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Gabriella Fernandes finish map
Gabriella Fernandes breakdown
Gabriella Fernandes's recent form
Pace delta
+4.3 significant strikes/min
Casey O'Neill averages 7.9 significant strikes per minute while Gabriella Fernandes sits at 3.6.
AI confidence
80%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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