UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Mar 28, 2026Seattle, Washington, USA
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Casey O'Neill 7.9 SLpM, Gabriella Fernandes 3.5 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Casey O'Neill 52%, Gabriella Fernandes 46%
  • Damage Avoidance: Casey O'Neill 5.5 abs/min, Gabriella Fernandes 5.3 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Casey O'Neill 34%, Gabriella Fernandes 18%
  • Takedown Defense: Casey O'Neill 70%, Gabriella Fernandes 68%
  • Submission Threat: Casey O'Neill 0.7 per 15m, Gabriella Fernandes 0.2 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Casey O'Neill
Gabriella Fernandes

Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Casey O'Neill
6-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (40%)
Sub (13%)
Decision (27%)
Losses (20%)
Gabriella Fernandes
3-3UFC Record
Sub (22%)
Decision (44%)
Losses (33%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy52%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense70%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense68%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Casey O'Neill
Gabriella Fernandes

From opening bell, Casey O'Neill can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 7.9 significant strikes per minute while Gabriella Fernandes looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Southpaw stance angles.

Key Storylines
  • First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
  • Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
  • Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.
Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes Stats Comparison

Age
28
33
Height
5'6" (168 cm)
5'6" (168 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
125 lbs (57 kg)
Reach
69" (175 cm)
66" (168 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes AI Analysis

Pace delta

+4.4 significant strikes/min

Casey O'Neill averages 7.9 significant strikes per minute while Gabriella Fernandes sits at 3.5.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Casey O'Neill and Gabriella Fernandes, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

O'Neill vs Fernandes odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch O'Neill vs Fernandes

Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes is on the UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer card on Mar 28, 2026 at Seattle, Washington, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for O'Neill vs Fernandes: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events

Casey O'Neill vs Gabriella Fernandes Prediction: AI Pick & UFC Odds | AgentMMA