Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

Mar 28, 2026Seattle, Washington, USA

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Michael Chiesa

Record: 20-7-0

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Niko Price

Record: 16-11-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Michael Chiesa

Niko Price

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Michael Chiesa

Niko Price

Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Michael Chiesa

Sub (46%)

Decision (30%)

Losses (24%)

Niko Price

KO/TKO (33%)

Sub (16%)

Decision (16%)

Losses (34%)

No Contest (2)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency85%

Takedown Defense65%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance71%

Fight IQ70%

Last Opponents

Michael Chiesa

Niko Price

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From opening bell, Michael Chiesa can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 2.0 significant strikes per minute while Niko Price looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:4

Michael Chiesa

Michael Chiesa finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (46%)

Decision (30%)

Losses (24%)

Michael Chiesa breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy40%

Grappling Efficiency85%

Takedown Defense65%

Cardio & Endurance75%

Fight IQ85%

Michael Chiesa's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Niko Price must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Michael Chiesa brings the more polished entries (47%) while Niko Price relies on defensive frames (50%).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Niko Price

Niko Price finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (33%)

Sub (16%)

Decision (16%)

Losses (34%)

No Contest (2)

Niko Price breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense50%

Cardio & Endurance71%

Fight IQ70%

Niko Price's recent form

Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

6'1" (185 cm)

•

6'0" (183 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

75" (191 cm)

•

76" (193 cm)

Stance

Southpaw

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.1 significant strikes/min

Niko Price averages 5.1 significant strikes per minute while Michael Chiesa sits at 2.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Michael Chiesa and Niko Price, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Chiesa vs Price odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Chiesa vs Price

Michael Chiesa vs Niko Price is on the UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer card on Mar 28, 2026 at Seattle, Washington, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Chiesa vs Price: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.