Jake Matthews vs Tahir Abdullayev

UFC Fight Night: Qatar

Nov 21, 2026• In 52 daysDoha, Qatar

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Jake Matthews

Record: 22-8-0

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Tahir Abdullayev

Record: 20-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jake Matthews

Tahir Abdullayev

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Jake Matthews

Tahir Abdullayev

Jake Matthews vs Tahir Abdullayev AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Jake Matthews vs Tahir Abdullayev

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Jake Matthews

KO/TKO (5%)

Sub (28%)

Decision (42%)

Losses (25%)

Tahir Abdullayev

KO/TKO (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency62%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Grappling Efficiency50%

Cardio & Endurance85%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Jake Matthews

Tahir Abdullayev

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From opening bell, Jake Matthews can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Tahir Abdullayev looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:1

Jake Matthews

Jake Matthews finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (5%)

Sub (28%)

Decision (42%)

Losses (25%)

Jake Matthews breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency62%

Takedown Defense64%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Jake Matthews's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Tahir Abdullayev must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Jake Matthews brings the more polished entries (41%) while Tahir Abdullayev relies on defensive frames (—).

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Tahir Abdullayev

Tahir Abdullayev finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (100%)

Tahir Abdullayev breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Grappling Efficiency50%

Cardio & Endurance85%

Fight IQ80%

Tahir Abdullayev's recent form

Jake Matthews vs Tahir Abdullayev Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'11" (180 cm)

•

5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

170 lbs (77 kg)

•

170 lbs (77 kg)

Reach

73" (185 cm)

•

73" (185 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Jake Matthews vs Tahir Abdullayev AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.3 significant strikes/min

Jake Matthews averages 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Tahir Abdullayev sits at 0.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Jake Matthews and Tahir Abdullayev, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Jake Matthews vs Tahir Abdullayev.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Matthews vs Abdullayev odds

Live Polymarket odds for Jake Matthews vs Tahir Abdullayev are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Matthews vs Abdullayev

Jake Matthews vs Tahir Abdullayev is on the UFC Fight Night: Qatar card on Nov 21, 2026 at Doha, Qatar. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Matthews vs Abdullayev: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.