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UFC 335
Dec 12, 2026• In 72 daysT-Mobile
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Charles Oliveira 3.4 SLpM, Diego Lopes 3.8 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Charles Oliveira 54%, Diego Lopes 47%
  • Damage Avoidance: Charles Oliveira 3.2 abs/min, Diego Lopes 4.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Charles Oliveira 40%, Diego Lopes 50%
  • Takedown Defense: Charles Oliveira 54%, Diego Lopes 68%
  • Submission Threat: Charles Oliveira 2.6 per 15m, Diego Lopes 1.4 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Charles Oliveira
Diego Lopes

Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Charles Oliveira
25-11UFC Record
KO/TKO (12%)
Sub (52%)
Decision (12%)
Losses (23%)
No Contest (1)
Diego Lopes
7-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (44%)
Sub (11%)
Decision (22%)
Losses (23%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%
Grappling Efficiency94%
Takedown Defense54%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency55%
Takedown Defense68%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Charles Oliveira
Diego Lopes

Charles Oliveira against Diego Lopes at UFC 335 is the kind of title fight that gets fans talking before anyone throws a punch. Oliveira arrives with consecutive wins, while Lopes is coming off a nasty finish of Steve Garcia, so neither man is walking in with a quiet story. The fun part is that getting this fight to the ground does not automatically make things simpler. After the knockout loss to Ilia Topuria, Oliveira submitted Mateusz Gamrot with a rear naked choke in round 2, then beat Max Holloway by unanimous decision.

Key Storylines
  • Oliveira answered the Topuria setback with wins over Gamrot and Holloway
  • Lopes went the distance with Volkanovski twice. Oliveira brings different problems
  • Longer reach meets dangerous scrambles with a title on the line
Finishing Window

The fight is most likely to open up in round 2, when the opening pace starts testing clean entries and defensive positioning.

Lopes stopped Jean Silva and Garcia with ground punches in round 2, with a unanimous decision loss to Alexander Volkanovski between those wins. Both of his recent meetings with Volkanovski went the distance, which adds a real question about turning explosive moments into a complete title fight. Here is the technical wrinkle: Oliveira has 74 inches of reach to Lopes' 72, giving him a little more room to work before they tie up. Lopes needs clean entries rather than loose rushes, while Oliveira has to respect the punches that can follow a scramble.

On the mat, protecting the neck and winning position matter just as much as chasing an opening. The title stakes make every wasted burst matter. Can either man keep the pressure useful without handing the other a dangerous opening?

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Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes Stats Comparison

Age
36
•
31
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
•
5'11" (180 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
•
145 lbs (66 kg)
Reach
74" (188 cm)
•
72" (183 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.5 significant strikes/min

Diego Lopes averages 3.8 significant strikes per minute while Charles Oliveira sits at 3.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Charles Oliveira and Diego Lopes, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Oliveira vs Lopes odds

Live Polymarket odds for Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Oliveira vs Lopes

Charles Oliveira vs Diego Lopes is on the UFC 335 card on Dec 12, 2026 at T-Mobile. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Oliveira vs Lopes: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events