UFC Fight Night
Aug 22, 2026In 25 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Chris Padilla 4.8 SLpM, Nasrat Haqparast 6.4 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Chris Padilla 54%, Nasrat Haqparast 45%
  • Damage Avoidance: Chris Padilla 3.9 abs/min, Nasrat Haqparast 6.0 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Chris Padilla 30%, Nasrat Haqparast 20%
  • Takedown Defense: Chris Padilla 75%, Nasrat Haqparast 86%
  • Submission Threat: Chris Padilla 0.4 per 15m, Nasrat Haqparast —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Chris Padilla
Nasrat Haqparast

Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Chris Padilla
5-0UFC Record
KO/TKO (25%)
Sub (25%)
Decision (50%)
Nasrat Haqparast
10-5UFC Record
KO/TKO (15%)
Decision (60%)
Losses (25%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy54%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense75%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy45%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense86%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Chris Padilla
Nasrat Haqparast

Nasrat Haqparast is stepping into a must-win situation after getting absolutely starched by Quillan Salkilld back in October. That head kick knockout in Abu Dhabi was brutal, and now he's got to prove that loss was just a bad night. Chris Padilla, meanwhile, is riding high after that nasty ground and pound finish over Ismael Bonfim in November. Taco's been on a tear, picking up four wins in his last five UFC appearances.

Key Storylines
  • Haqparast needs a bounce back after brutal knockout loss
  • Padilla hunting his fifth UFC win in six fights
  • Southpaw striking versus relentless finishing pressure
Finishing Window

If Padilla closes distance and gets this to the mat, round two could get real dangerous for Haqparast.

This matchup is all about Haqparast's southpaw striking against Padilla's relentless pressure and finishing instincts. Haqparast can light you up when he's on, remember when he slept Jamie Mullarkey in under two minutes? The dude threw 31 strikes and landed 18 of them before Mullarkey was out cold. But Padilla's proven he can drag you into deep water and drown you there.

That rear naked choke over James Llontop took less than five minutes, and the Bonfim finish showed he's got serious ground and pound. The big question is whether Haqparast can keep this fight at distance and use that southpaw stance to his advantage. He's thrown over 300 strikes in multiple fights, but Padilla's 56% striking accuracy in that majority draw with MarQuel Mederos shows he's not just swinging wild. If Padilla gets inside and makes this ugly, Haqparast could be in serious trouble after that knockout loss shook his confidence.

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Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast Stats Comparison

Age
30
30
Height
5'9" (175 cm)
5'10" (178 cm)
Weight
155 lbs (70 kg)
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
74" (188 cm)
72" (183 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.6 significant strikes/min

Nasrat Haqparast averages 6.4 significant strikes per minute while Chris Padilla sits at 4.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Chris Padilla and Nasrat Haqparast, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Padilla vs Haqparast odds

Live Polymarket odds for Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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