MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Aug 22, 2026Sacramento, California, USA

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MarQuel Mederos

Record: 12-1-1

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Mason Jones

Record: 18-3-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

MarQuel Mederos

Mason Jones

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

MarQuel Mederos

Mason Jones

MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

MarQuel Mederos

KO/TKO (25%)

Decision (75%)

Mason Jones

KO/TKO (18%)

Decision (55%)

Losses (27%)

No Contest (1)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy60%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency56%

Takedown Defense77%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

MarQuel Mederos

Mason Jones

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From opening bell, MarQuel Mederos can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 5.9 significant strikes per minute while Mason Jones looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:1

MarQuel Mederos

MarQuel Mederos finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (25%)

Decision (75%)

MarQuel Mederos breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy60%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense80%

Cardio & Endurance79%

Fight IQ85%

MarQuel Mederos's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Mason Jones must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Mason Jones owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (56%) but must solve the 80% sprawl from MarQuel Mederos.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Mason Jones

Mason Jones finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (18%)

Decision (55%)

Losses (27%)

No Contest (1)

Mason Jones breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy43%

Grappling Efficiency56%

Takedown Defense77%

Cardio & Endurance76%

Fight IQ80%

Mason Jones's recent form

MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'10" (178 cm)

•

5'10" (178 cm)

Weight

155 lbs (70 kg)

•

155 lbs (70 kg)

Reach

69" (175 cm)

•

74" (188 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.4 significant strikes/min

Mason Jones averages 6.3 significant strikes per minute while MarQuel Mederos sits at 5.9.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare MarQuel Mederos and Mason Jones, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Mederos vs Jones odds

When Polymarket opens a market for MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Mederos vs Jones

MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones is on the UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues card on Aug 22, 2026 at Sacramento, California, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Mederos vs Jones: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.