UFC Fight Night
Aug 22, 2026• In 2 daysMeta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Carli Judice 9.3 SLpM, Jeisla Chaves —
  • Striking Accuracy: Carli Judice 50%, Jeisla Chaves —
  • Damage Avoidance: Carli Judice 6.6 abs/min, Jeisla Chaves —
  • Takedown Accuracy: Carli Judice 25%, Jeisla Chaves —
  • Takedown Defense: Carli Judice 80%, Jeisla Chaves —
  • Submission Threat: Carli Judice —, Jeisla Chaves —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Carli Judice
Jeisla Chaves

Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Carli Judice
3-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (53%)
Decision (27%)
Losses (20%)
Jeisla Chaves
1-0UFC Record
Decision (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense80%
Cardio & Endurance78%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Grappling Efficiency50%
Cardio & Endurance85%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Carli Judice
Jeisla Chaves
Betting odds

Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves sportsbook odds

Carli Judice is the betting favourite at -525 (1.19), with Jeisla Chaves priced at +400 (5.00). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.

Carli Judice

FavouriteImplied 84%Line drifting
-5251.19

Jeisla Chaves

Implied 20%Line shortening
+4005.00

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

Carli Judice is on an absolute tear right now, and the women's flyweight division better be paying attention. "Crispy" has rattled off three straight wins, including two nasty finishes that had everyone talking. That head kick knockout of Yuneisy Duben back in March 2025 was brutal, and then she followed it up with a body knee TKO against Nicolle Caliari at UFC 318. Most recently, she outworked Juliana Miller over three rounds in Houston this past February. The southpaw from Headkicks MMA is riding serious momentum into Sacramento.

Key Storylines
  • Judice riding three fight win streak with two finishes
  • Chaves brings wrestling pressure Judice hasn't seen lately
  • Both fighters share common opponent in Yuneisy Duben
Finishing Window

If Judice keeps it standing, those finishing instincts could kick in at any moment, but if Chaves drags this into deep water with her grappling, the third round gets real interesting.

Jeisla Chaves "A Braba" just picked up a split decision win over that same Yuneisy Duben fighter back in June, showing she can grind out tough fights. She landed 92 of 136 strikes at a crazy 68% clip and mixed in three takedowns with over four minutes of control time. That's a completely different style than what Judice has been dealing with lately. Chaves is willing to wrestle and control, while Judice has been finding her rhythm on the feet and putting people away.

This is a classic striker versus grappler setup brewing. Judice has been lighting people up at distance with that southpaw striking, but she's never faced someone in the UFC who's going to pressure her with takedowns like Chaves can. The question is whether Chaves can get inside on someone who's finished two of her last three fights and just went 117 for 235 on strikes against Caliari. Judice's takedown defense is about to get tested hard.

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Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves Stats Comparison

Age
27
•
29
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
•
—
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
•
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
68" (173 cm)
•
—
Stance
Southpaw
•
—
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves AI Analysis

Pace delta

+9.3 significant strikes/min

Carli Judice averages 9.3 significant strikes per minute while Jeisla Chaves sits at 0.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Carli Judice and Jeisla Chaves, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Judice vs Chaves odds

Live Polymarket odds for Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Judice vs Chaves

Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves is on the UFC Fight Night card on Aug 22, 2026 at Meta APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Judice vs Chaves: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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