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UFC Record Breakdown
Carli Judice is on an absolute tear right now, and the women's flyweight division better be paying attention. "Crispy" has rattled off three straight wins, including two nasty finishes that had everyone talking. That head kick knockout of Yuneisy Duben back in March 2025 was brutal, and then she followed it up with a body knee TKO against Nicolle Caliari at UFC 318. Most recently, she outworked Juliana Miller over three rounds in Houston this past February. The southpaw from Headkicks MMA is riding serious momentum into Sacramento.
If Judice keeps it standing, those finishing instincts could kick in at any moment, but if Chaves drags this into deep water with her grappling, the third round gets real interesting.
Jeisla Chaves "A Braba" just picked up a split decision win over that same Yuneisy Duben fighter back in June, showing she can grind out tough fights. She landed 92 of 136 strikes at a crazy 68% clip and mixed in three takedowns with over four minutes of control time. That's a completely different style than what Judice has been dealing with lately. Chaves is willing to wrestle and control, while Judice has been finding her rhythm on the feet and putting people away.
This is a classic striker versus grappler setup brewing. Judice has been lighting people up at distance with that southpaw striking, but she's never faced someone in the UFC who's going to pressure her with takedowns like Chaves can. The question is whether Chaves can get inside on someone who's finished two of her last three fights and just went 117 for 235 on strikes against Caliari. Judice's takedown defense is about to get tested hard.
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Carli Judice finish map
Carli Judice breakdown
Carli Judice's recent form
Carli Judice is on an absolute tear right now, and the women's flyweight division better be paying attention. "Crispy" has rattled off three straight wins, including two nasty finishes that had everyone talking. That head kick knockout of Yuneisy Duben back in March 2025 was brutal, and then she followed it up with a body knee TKO against Nicolle Caliari at UFC 318. Most recently, she outworked Juliana Miller over three rounds in Houston this past February. The southpaw from Headkicks MMA is riding serious momentum into Sacramento.
If Judice keeps it standing, those finishing instincts could kick in at any moment, but if Chaves drags this into deep water with her grappling, the third round gets real interesting.
Jeisla Chaves "A Braba" just picked up a split decision win over that same Yuneisy Duben fighter back in June, showing she can grind out tough fights. She landed 92 of 136 strikes at a crazy 68% clip and mixed in three takedowns with over four minutes of control time. That's a completely different style than what Judice has been dealing with lately. Chaves is willing to wrestle and control, while Judice has been finding her rhythm on the feet and putting people away.
This is a classic striker versus grappler setup brewing. Judice has been lighting people up at distance with that southpaw striking, but she's never faced someone in the UFC who's going to pressure her with takedowns like Chaves can. The question is whether Chaves can get inside on someone who's finished two of her last three fights and just went 117 for 235 on strikes against Caliari. Judice's takedown defense is about to get tested hard.
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Jeisla Chaves finish map
Jeisla Chaves breakdown
Jeisla Chaves's recent form
Pace delta
+9.3 significant strikes/min
Carli Judice averages 9.3 significant strikes per minute while Jeisla Chaves sits at 0.0.
AI confidence
78%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
