UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Aug 15, 2026In 7 daysXfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States
Back to articles

Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Myktybek Orolbai 2.8 SLpM, Jeremiah Wells 2.4 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Myktybek Orolbai 50%, Jeremiah Wells 46%
  • Damage Avoidance: Myktybek Orolbai 2.7 abs/min, Jeremiah Wells 1.3 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Myktybek Orolbai 59%, Jeremiah Wells 46%
  • Takedown Defense: Myktybek Orolbai 40%, Jeremiah Wells 50%
  • Submission Threat: Myktybek Orolbai 0.5 per 15m, Jeremiah Wells 1.3 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Myktybek Orolbai
Jeremiah Wells

Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Myktybek Orolbai
5-1UFC Record
KO/TKO (17%)
Sub (34%)
Decision (34%)
Losses (14%)
Jeremiah Wells
5-2UFC Record
KO/TKO (31%)
Sub (16%)
Decision (31%)
Losses (22%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy50%
Grappling Efficiency72%
Takedown Defense40%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Grappling Efficiency51%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance74%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Myktybek Orolbai
Jeremiah Wells

This welterweight scrap is flying under the radar but shouldn't be. Jeremiah Wells just got back in the win column with a decision over Themba Gorimbo last November, landing 59 of 84 strikes and controlling the fight for over six minutes. The switch stance fighter from Renzo Gracie Philly needed that one after dropping a split to Max Griffin and getting caught in an anaconda choke by Carlston Harris. Now he's looking to build momentum back home in Philadelphia. Myktybek Orolbai is coming in hot with three straight finishes.

Key Storylines
  • Wells looks to build momentum in front of Philly crowd
  • Orolbai riding three straight finishes into hostile territory
  • Grappling chess match could decide who controls the pace
Finishing Window

If Orolbai is going to get the finish, it happens in the first two rounds when his power and submission threats are most dangerous.

He knocked out Jack Hermansson in under three minutes last November, then submitted Tofiq Musayev with a kimura in June. Before that, he took a split decision loss to Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 308, but bounced back strong. The Kyrgyzstan native is dangerous everywhere, mixing slick submissions with legit power. Here's the thing about this matchup. Wells has shown he can grind when he needs to, hitting 60% on his takedowns against Gorimbo and controlling position.

But Orolbai is a finisher who doesn't let fights get boring. That kimura over Musayev showed he can snatch submissions from anywhere, and that Hermansson knockout proved his hands are no joke either. Wells fighting in Philly gives him the hometown crowd, but Orolbai's finishing streak makes him scary for anyone at 170. Fans are wondering if Wells can use his wrestling to slow down the momentum, or if Orolbai adds another finish to his highlight reel.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells Stats Comparison

Age
28
39
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
170 lbs (77 kg)
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
74" (188 cm)
74" (188 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Switch
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.4 significant strikes/min

Myktybek Orolbai averages 2.8 significant strikes per minute while Jeremiah Wells sits at 2.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Myktybek Orolbai and Jeremiah Wells, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells.

Premium analysis preview is ready.

Loading secure checkout…

Model score and full reasoning inside

Orolbai vs Wells odds

Live Polymarket odds for Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events