UFC Record Breakdown
This welterweight scrap is flying under the radar but shouldn't be. Jeremiah Wells just got back in the win column with a decision over Themba Gorimbo last November, landing 59 of 84 strikes and controlling the fight for over six minutes. The switch stance fighter from Renzo Gracie Philly needed that one after dropping a split to Max Griffin and getting caught in an anaconda choke by Carlston Harris. Now he's looking to build momentum back home in Philadelphia. Myktybek Orolbai is coming in hot with three straight finishes.
If Orolbai is going to get the finish, it happens in the first two rounds when his power and submission threats are most dangerous.
He knocked out Jack Hermansson in under three minutes last November, then submitted Tofiq Musayev with a kimura in June. Before that, he took a split decision loss to Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 308, but bounced back strong. The Kyrgyzstan native is dangerous everywhere, mixing slick submissions with legit power. Here's the thing about this matchup. Wells has shown he can grind when he needs to, hitting 60% on his takedowns against Gorimbo and controlling position.
But Orolbai is a finisher who doesn't let fights get boring. That kimura over Musayev showed he can snatch submissions from anywhere, and that Hermansson knockout proved his hands are no joke either. Wells fighting in Philly gives him the hometown crowd, but Orolbai's finishing streak makes him scary for anyone at 170. Fans are wondering if Wells can use his wrestling to slow down the momentum, or if Orolbai adds another finish to his highlight reel.
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Myktybek Orolbai finish map

Myktybek Orolbai breakdown
Myktybek Orolbai's recent form
This welterweight scrap is flying under the radar but shouldn't be. Jeremiah Wells just got back in the win column with a decision over Themba Gorimbo last November, landing 59 of 84 strikes and controlling the fight for over six minutes. The switch stance fighter from Renzo Gracie Philly needed that one after dropping a split to Max Griffin and getting caught in an anaconda choke by Carlston Harris. Now he's looking to build momentum back home in Philadelphia. Myktybek Orolbai is coming in hot with three straight finishes.
If Orolbai is going to get the finish, it happens in the first two rounds when his power and submission threats are most dangerous.
He knocked out Jack Hermansson in under three minutes last November, then submitted Tofiq Musayev with a kimura in June. Before that, he took a split decision loss to Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 308, but bounced back strong. The Kyrgyzstan native is dangerous everywhere, mixing slick submissions with legit power. Here's the thing about this matchup. Wells has shown he can grind when he needs to, hitting 60% on his takedowns against Gorimbo and controlling position.
But Orolbai is a finisher who doesn't let fights get boring. That kimura over Musayev showed he can snatch submissions from anywhere, and that Hermansson knockout proved his hands are no joke either. Wells fighting in Philly gives him the hometown crowd, but Orolbai's finishing streak makes him scary for anyone at 170. Fans are wondering if Wells can use his wrestling to slow down the momentum, or if Orolbai adds another finish to his highlight reel.
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Jeremiah Wells finish map

Jeremiah Wells breakdown
Jeremiah Wells's recent form
Pace delta
+0.4 significant strikes/min
Myktybek Orolbai averages 2.8 significant strikes per minute while Jeremiah Wells sits at 2.4.
AI confidence
92%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Myktybek Orolbai vs Jeremiah Wells odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.