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UFC 334
Nov 14, 2026In 52 daysMadison Square Garden, New York City, New York, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Macy Chiasson 3.2 SLpM, Bia Mesquita 4.5 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Macy Chiasson 46%, Bia Mesquita 57%
  • Damage Avoidance: Macy Chiasson 2.8 abs/min, Bia Mesquita 1.3 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Macy Chiasson 35%, Bia Mesquita 75%
  • Takedown Defense: Macy Chiasson 62%, Bia Mesquita —
  • Submission Threat: Macy Chiasson 0.4 per 15m, Bia Mesquita 3.6 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Macy Chiasson
Bia Mesquita

Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Macy Chiasson
8-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (17%)
Sub (17%)
Decision (35%)
Losses (30%)
Bia Mesquita
3-0UFC Record
Sub (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense62%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%
Grappling Efficiency93%
Cardio & Endurance70%
Fight IQ95%

Last Opponents

Macy Chiasson
Bia Mesquita

Macy Chiasson walks into Madison Square Garden after three straight unanimous decision losses. Across from her is unbeaten Bia Mesquita, who has submitted each of her last three opponents. That is a wild pairing for UFC 334: one fighter needs to break a skid, while the other is trying to keep her run going against a longer, more experienced opponent. Chiasson has been here long enough to show more than one way to win. She submitted Pannie Kianzad, and her fight with Mayra Bueno Silva ended in a doctor stoppage after a cut, but her recent decisions against Ketlen Vieira, Yana Santos and Ailin Perez all went the other way.

Key Storylines
  • Chiasson brings three straight decision losses into Madison Square Garden.
  • Mesquita has submitted every opponent in her recent fight history.
  • Chiasson's reach gives Mesquita a real problem before the clinch.
Finishing Window

This could break open at the first sustained clinch, when both women have to prove whose range and control hold up.

Mesquita has taken a different route lately: a choke against Irina Alekseeva, another against Montse Rendon, then an armbar from guard against Melissa Mullins. Those results explain why every exchange near the mat will get attention. The reach difference jumps out immediately, and Chiasson has the striking and takedown threat to make Mesquita work for her openings. She needs space to get her shots off and must be careful about giving Mesquita a grip when they come together. Mesquita, meanwhile, has to close that distance without eating clean strikes, then show whether she can hold position against someone much taller.

Neither woman can assume the other wants only one kind of fight. The question is whether Chiasson can turn those recent full distance losses into a sharper performance, or whether Mesquita can carry her submission pressure onto this bigger stage. Madison Square Garden will hear every scramble.

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Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita Stats Comparison

Age
35
35
Height
5'11" (180 cm)
5'4" (163 cm)
Weight
135 lbs (61 kg)
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
72" (183 cm)
67" (170 cm)
Stance
Orthodox
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.3 significant strikes/min

Bia Mesquita averages 4.5 significant strikes per minute while Macy Chiasson sits at 3.2.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Macy Chiasson and Bia Mesquita, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Chiasson vs Mesquita odds

Live Polymarket odds for Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Chiasson vs Mesquita

Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita is on the UFC 334 card on Nov 14, 2026 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Chiasson vs Mesquita: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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