How AgentMMA breaks down Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita
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Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita sportsbook odds
Bia Mesquita is the betting favourite at -210 (1.48), with Macy Chiasson priced at +177 (2.77). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.
Macy Chiasson
Bia Mesquita
The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.
Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.
Macy Chiasson has the longer reach, but Bia Mesquita brings a nasty reason to think twice before following her to the ground. At UFC 334 in Madison Square Garden, even landing on top could leave Chiasson with another problem to solve. Chiasson arrives after unanimous decision losses to Ketlen Vieira, Yana Santos and Ailin Perez, though her rear naked choke win over Pannie Kianzad shows she can threaten on the ground. Mesquita submitted Irina Alekseeva and Montse Rendon with rear naked chokes, then caught Melissa Mullins with an armbar from guard in the opening round.
- Chiasson brings her own submission threat despite three straight decision losses.
- Mesquita's armbar from guard makes top position feel much less comfortable.
- Chiasson's longer reach makes Mesquita's route into grappling a serious question.
The opening round looks like the likeliest flashpoint, with Mesquita's recent quick attacks putting extra pressure on the first clinch entries and positional changes.
That last detail matters: putting Mesquita underneath you does not make your arms safe. Chiasson's 72 inches of reach against Mesquita's 67 give her a clear reason to jab, move and make every entry costly. Mesquita needs to get past those punches without reaching from too far away, while Chiasson needs to avoid turning a good striking exchange into a loose clinch. Those recent submission wins reveal Mesquita's threats, but offer less evidence about how she handles a long fight if the early attacks fail.
Chiasson needs to halt a losing run, and Mesquita wants to stay unbeaten. Watch the exits from each tie up: whoever can deny the next grip gets another chance to choose the distance.
Macy Chiasson
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Macy Chiasson's recent form
Macy Chiasson vs Bia Mesquita sportsbook odds
Bia Mesquita is the betting favourite at -210 (1.48), with Macy Chiasson priced at +177 (2.77). Both prices are shown in American and decimal format.
Macy Chiasson
Bia Mesquita
The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.
Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.
Macy Chiasson has the longer reach, but Bia Mesquita brings a nasty reason to think twice before following her to the ground. At UFC 334 in Madison Square Garden, even landing on top could leave Chiasson with another problem to solve. Chiasson arrives after unanimous decision losses to Ketlen Vieira, Yana Santos and Ailin Perez, though her rear naked choke win over Pannie Kianzad shows she can threaten on the ground. Mesquita submitted Irina Alekseeva and Montse Rendon with rear naked chokes, then caught Melissa Mullins with an armbar from guard in the opening round.
- Chiasson brings her own submission threat despite three straight decision losses.
- Mesquita's armbar from guard makes top position feel much less comfortable.
- Chiasson's longer reach makes Mesquita's route into grappling a serious question.
The opening round looks like the likeliest flashpoint, with Mesquita's recent quick attacks putting extra pressure on the first clinch entries and positional changes.
That last detail matters: putting Mesquita underneath you does not make your arms safe. Chiasson's 72 inches of reach against Mesquita's 67 give her a clear reason to jab, move and make every entry costly. Mesquita needs to get past those punches without reaching from too far away, while Chiasson needs to avoid turning a good striking exchange into a loose clinch. Those recent submission wins reveal Mesquita's threats, but offer less evidence about how she handles a long fight if the early attacks fail.
Chiasson needs to halt a losing run, and Mesquita wants to stay unbeaten. Watch the exits from each tie up: whoever can deny the next grip gets another chance to choose the distance.
Bia Mesquita
Bia Mesquita finish map
UFC Record Breakdown
Bia Mesquita breakdown
Performance Breakdown
Bia Mesquita's recent form
