Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2

Jan 31, 2026Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

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Alexander Volkanovski

Record: 28-4-0

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Diego Lopes

Record: 28-8-0

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alexander Volkanovski

Diego Lopes

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Alexander Volkanovski

Diego Lopes

Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Alexander Volkanovski

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (57%)

Losses (14%)

Diego Lopes

KO/TKO (44%)

Sub (11%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (23%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance80%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Last Opponents

Alexander Volkanovski

Diego Lopes

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From opening bell, Alexander Volkanovski can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 6.0 significant strikes per minute while Diego Lopes looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Streak:2

Alexander Volkanovski

Alexander Volkanovski finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (29%)

Decision (57%)

Losses (14%)

Alexander Volkanovski breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy57%

Grappling Efficiency45%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance80%

Fight IQ85%

Alexander Volkanovski's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Diego Lopes must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Diego Lopes owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (50%) but must solve the 68% sprawl from Alexander Volkanovski.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Streak:1

Diego Lopes

Diego Lopes finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (44%)

Sub (11%)

Decision (22%)

Losses (23%)

Diego Lopes breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%

Grappling Efficiency55%

Takedown Defense68%

Cardio & Endurance73%

Fight IQ75%

Diego Lopes's recent form

Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'6" (168 cm)

•

5'11" (180 cm)

Weight

145 lbs (66 kg)

•

145 lbs (66 kg)

Reach

71" (180 cm)

•

72" (183 cm)

Stance

Orthodox

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes AI Analysis

Pace delta

+2.2 significant strikes/min

Alexander Volkanovski averages 6.0 significant strikes per minute while Diego Lopes sits at 3.8.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Alexander Volkanovski and Diego Lopes, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Volkanovski vs Lopes odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Volkanovski vs Lopes

Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes is on the UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 card on Jan 31, 2026 at Sydney, New South Wales, Australia. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Volkanovski vs Lopes: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.