AgentMMA fuses strike pace, reaction data, and grappling leverage to map the fight flow.AI analysis of striking, defense, and grappling to project the fight outcome.
Here's the thing about rematches - they don't happen unless the first fight delivered, and Volkanovski vs. Lopes in Miami absolutely did. Volk reclaimed his throne with a unanimous decision, landing 165 strikes and showing everyone he's still got that championship heart. But it was competitive enough that fans have been buzzing about running it back ever since. Volkanovski's been on a wild ride these past couple years.
That brutal head kick knockout from Islam Makhachev at UFC 294, then getting stopped by Topuria at UFC 298 - people were wondering if the king was done. But that Lopes win in April showed the old Volk is still in there, mixing up his striking with takedown attempts and controlling the pace over five rounds. Dude landed 62% of his strikes and proved he can still go deep into championship rounds. Lopes isn't backing down from anyone though.
Since that loss to Volk, he went out and finished Jean Silva with ground and pound in September, staying active and dangerous. Before the first Volk fight, he was on fire - that first round destruction of Sodiq Yusuff at UFC 300 was nasty, and he beat Brian Ortega on the scorecards. The Brazilian's got serious power and he's not afraid to get wild, which makes this rematch so interesting. Can Volk's experience and fight IQ handle Lopes' aggression again, or does Diego make the adjustments?


UFC Record Breakdown
Both guys have shown they can finish fights late - Volk stopped Yair in round three, Lopes got Silva in the second - so don't blink in the championship rounds.

Alexander Volkanovski finish map

Alexander Volkanovski breakdown
Here's the thing about rematches - they don't happen unless the first fight delivered, and Volkanovski vs. Lopes in Miami absolutely did. Volk reclaimed his throne with a unanimous decision, landing 165 strikes and showing everyone he's still got that championship heart. But it was competitive enough that fans have been buzzing about running it back ever since. Volkanovski's been on a wild ride these past couple years.
That brutal head kick knockout from Islam Makhachev at UFC 294, then getting stopped by Topuria at UFC 298 - people were wondering if the king was done. But that Lopes win in April showed the old Volk is still in there, mixing up his striking with takedown attempts and controlling the pace over five rounds. Dude landed 62% of his strikes and proved he can still go deep into championship rounds. Lopes isn't backing down from anyone though.
Since that loss to Volk, he went out and finished Jean Silva with ground and pound in September, staying active and dangerous. Before the first Volk fight, he was on fire - that first round destruction of Sodiq Yusuff at UFC 300 was nasty, and he beat Brian Ortega on the scorecards. The Brazilian's got serious power and he's not afraid to get wild, which makes this rematch so interesting. Can Volk's experience and fight IQ handle Lopes' aggression again, or does Diego make the adjustments?
Both guys have shown they can finish fights late - Volk stopped Yair in round three, Lopes got Silva in the second - so don't blink in the championship rounds.

Diego Lopes finish map

Diego Lopes breakdown
Pace delta
+2.1 significant strikes/min
Alexander Volkanovski averages 6.2 significant strikes per minute while Diego Lopes sits at 4.1.
AI confidence
84%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
High-conviction finish window detected. Unlock for full breakdown.
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