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Aug 22, 2026In 33 daysCleveland, OH
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Joaquin Buckley 3.9 SLpM, Tyron Woodley 2.4 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Joaquin Buckley 36%, Tyron Woodley 48%
  • Damage Avoidance: Joaquin Buckley 2.9 abs/min, Tyron Woodley 2.8 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Joaquin Buckley 45%, Tyron Woodley 40%
  • Takedown Defense: Joaquin Buckley 72%, Tyron Woodley 87%
  • Submission Threat: Joaquin Buckley 0.1 per 15m, Tyron Woodley 0.4 per 15m
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Joaquin Buckley
Tyron Woodley

Joaquin Buckley vs Tyron Woodley AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Joaquin Buckley vs Tyron Woodley

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Joaquin Buckley
11-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (40%)
Decision (34%)
Losses (26%)
Tyron Woodley
10-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (39%)
Sub (8%)
Decision (24%)
Losses (29%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy36%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense72%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ80%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy48%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense87%
Cardio & Endurance73%
Fight IQ85%

Last Opponents

Joaquin Buckley
Tyron Woodley

This is one of those fights that hits different. Tyron Woodley, the former champ who once ruled the welterweight division, is stepping back in against Joaquin Buckley, one of the most dangerous finishers in the game right now. Woodley's been out of the cage since that brutal D'Arce choke loss to Vicente Luque back in March 2021, while Buckley's been on a tear, knocking out Stephen Thompson and stopping Colby Covington with a doctor's stoppage cut. The age and activity gap is real, but Woodley's still got that power that made him a problem for years. Buckley's coming off back to back losses though, dropping decisions to Kamaru Usman and Sean Brady. Those fights showed he can hang with elite wrestlers and grapplers, but he couldn't get his offense going like he needed to.

Key Storylines
  • Former champ returns after three years away from the octagon
  • Buckley hunting for a statement win after two straight losses
  • Woodley's power versus Buckley's finishing instinct
Finishing Window

If Woodley's got anything left, it shows early, but Buckley gets more dangerous as the fight goes on and guys start to fade.

Against Wonderboy, he landed that nasty knockout punch in round three. Against Covington, he busted him up so bad the doctor had to wave it off. That's the Buckley everyone fears, the guy who can end your night with one shot. Woodley's path has been rough. He lost the belt to Usman in a one sided decision at UFC 235, then dropped fights to Gilbert Burns and Covington before Luque submitted him. But remember when he choked out Darren Till to defend his title?

That D'Arce choke was sick, and it showed he's still got that championship level skill when he's on. The question is whether ring rust and Father Time have caught up to The Chosen One. This is about legacy for Woodley and momentum for Buckley. Can the former champ prove he's still got it, or does Buckley add another big name to his highlight reel?

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Joaquin Buckley vs Tyron Woodley Stats Comparison

Age
32
44
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
170 lbs (77 kg)
170 lbs (77 kg)
Reach
76" (193 cm)
74" (188 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: Joaquin Buckley vs Tyron Woodley AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.5 significant strikes/min

Joaquin Buckley averages 3.9 significant strikes per minute while Tyron Woodley sits at 2.4.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Joaquin Buckley and Tyron Woodley, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Joaquin Buckley vs Tyron Woodley.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Buckley vs Woodley odds

Live Polymarket odds for Joaquin Buckley vs Tyron Woodley are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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