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Israel Adesanya

Israel Adesanya

“The Last Stylebender”

Main event

UFC Fight Night Riyadh Predictions

Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov

UFC Riyadh

24-6-0vs17-1-0
View matchup & AI pick
Shara Magomedov

Shara Magomedov

“Bullet”

Date

Sat, Dec 5, 2026

Location

Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Card

7 fights

UFC Fight Night fight card

Every confirmed matchup

All 7 confirmed fights are below. Open any card for the stats preview, then choose whether to reveal the AI prediction.

7 confirmed fightsFantasy card feed syncedOdds added as markets open

Market percentages are public market-implied probabilities, not the AgentMMA prediction. The model's pick remains hidden until you choose to open it.

UFC Riyadh results

Results will appear here after the event: every winner, method, round and judges' scorecard.

UFC Fight Night betting odds

Sportsbook odds for this card

One bout on this card is priced right now. Every line is shown in both American and decimal format.

The green percentage is the Polymarket prediction market; the amber line is the sportsbook moneyline. They price the same fight two different ways.

Odds are based on bookmaker betting lines and reflect an average value, and they can move at any time. AgentMMA is not a bookmaker and takes no bets.

No prediction spoilers

Know what you unlock before you reveal a pick

The public page gives you every currently confirmed fight, fighter records and available market context. The premium verdict stays hidden until you deliberately open an AI prediction.

Model score

The winner pick and a 0–100 model score, not a calibrated win probability.

Method and round read

The expected finish path, method lean and likely round.

Matchup factors

The style, form and statistical edges driving the model.

Fresh card context

Fight-card and available market data refresh as the feeds update.

Card breakdown/UFC Fight Night

UFC Riyadh breakdown

UFC Fight Night Riyadh on Sat, Dec 5, 2026. The UFC Riyadh breakdown below reads every bout from public data — who the sportsbooks make the favourite, what our Elo ratings say and how the records compare — with the full AI analysis one click away. The card is headlined by Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov.

  1. Main eventTitle fight
    Israel AdesanyaIsrael AdesanyaShara MagomedovShara Magomedov

    Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov

    Israel Adesanya is the sportsbook favourite at 1.67 (58% implied), with Shara Magomedov the underdog. Our Elo rating favours Israel Adesanya by 23 points. Records: Israel Adesanya 24-6-0, Shara Magomedov 17-1-0.

  2. Co-main event
    Abdul HusseinAbdul HusseinHecher SosaHecher Sosa

    Abdul Hussein vs Hecher Sosa

    Records: Abdul Hussein 16-2-0, Hecher Sosa 15-1-0.

  3. Prelims
    Mahammadali OsmanliMahammadali OsmanliPavel AndruscaPavel Andrusca

    Mahammadali Osmanli vs Pavel Andrusca

    Records: Mahammadali Osmanli 13-2-0, Pavel Andrusca 9-0-0.

  4. Prelims
    Levan ChokheliLevan ChokheliIslam DulatovIslam Dulatov

    Levan Chokheli vs Islam Dulatov

    Records: Levan Chokheli 15-3-0, Islam Dulatov 12-1-0.

  5. Prelims
    Serghei SpivacSerghei SpivacMario PintoMario Pinto

    Serghei Spivac vs Mario Pinto

    Our Elo rating favours Serghei Spivac by 27 points. Records: Serghei Spivac 18-7-0, Mario Pinto 13-0-0.

  6. Prelims
    Ion CutelabaIon CutelabaMagomed TuchalovMagomed Tuchalov

    Ion Cutelaba vs Magomed Tuchalov

    Our Elo rating favours Ion Cutelaba by 424 points. Records: Ion Cutelaba 20-12-1, Magomed Tuchalov 7-0-0.

Odds are the latest sportsbook snapshot and keep moving until fight night. Elo is AgentMMA's public rating, not the AI prediction.

UFC event preview/UFC Fight Night predictions

UFC Fight Night Predictions: Riyadh Odds & AI Picks

UFC Fight Night predictions focus on Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov in Riyadh on 2026-12-05. The current card lists 6 active fights; the headliner, venue and main-card broadcast start remain unconfirmed. Israel Adesanya brings a 24-6-0 record against Shara Magomedov's...

Main event
Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov
Date
Sat, Dec 5, 2026
Card
7 fights
Location
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Key storylines

1

Israel Adesanya's 4 consecutive losses meet Shara Magomedov's 2 straight decision wins. The question is how their distance control holds up under pressure.

2

Abdul Hussein's recent submission makes ground control a key issue against Hecher Sosa. Getting inside safely matters before any finishing threat can develop.

3

Magomed Tuchalov brings an unbeaten record against the much more experienced Ion Cutelaba. A smaller fight sample leaves more unanswered questions about difficult exchanges.

Full preview

UFC Fight Night predictions focus on Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov in Riyadh on 2026-12-05. The current card lists 6 active fights; the headliner, venue and main-card broadcast start remain unconfirmed. Israel Adesanya brings a 24-6-0 record against Shara Magomedov's 17-1-0. A run of 4 losses contrasts with 2 consecutive decision wins, making responses to pressure a central question.

Abdul Hussein vs Hecher Sosa adds a contest over entries and ground control, with records of 16-2-0 and 15-1-0. Ion Cutelaba vs Magomed Tuchalov matches a 20-12-1 veteran against a 7-0-0 opponent. The unbeaten record covers a much smaller sample; it cannot establish how Magomed Tuchalov will handle clinches and submission threats. Recent quick finishes also leave sustained pace uncertain for Levan Chokheli and Islam Dulatov.

For the market, reputation and unbeaten records deserve context before accepting favorite or underdog labels. Israel Adesanya's ELO of 2748.9 and Shara Magomedov's 2725.9 are ranking signals, not win probabilities. Neither those ratings nor raw records settle the matchup. This page pairs the current full card with live odds and locked AI prediction cards, keeping the public market and the model's assessment distinct.

Unlock Premium for every fight's exact AI winner pick, win probability, confidence score, method lean and model-vs-market edge. AgentMMA weighs fighter statistics, live odds, market probability and historical performance. The current 7-fight card is scheduled for Saturday, 2026-12-05. Main-card broadcast details remain unconfirmed.

Unlock every UFC Fight Night AI pick, model score, method lean, supporting factors and available market context.
Watch & stream/UFC Fight Night

How to watch UFC Riyadh

Where can I watch UFC Riyadh online?

UFC Riyadh is carried by a different official broadcaster in every country, so where you watch Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov depends on the region you are watching from. UFC Fight Pass and the UFC's own schedule list the licensed broadcaster or streaming service where you are, and most rights holders run the early prelims, prelims and main card back to back. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams — what you get here is the full UFC Riyadh fight card, start time, odds and AI predictions. In the United States, UFC Riyadh streams on Paramount+.

Can I watch UFC Riyadh online for free?

In most countries there is no legal free stream of the full UFC Riyadh main card. What genuinely is free: the early prelims are sometimes shown on the UFC's official channels in selected regions, several broadcasters give new subscribers a free trial, and a handful of markets still air UFC events on free-to-air television. Anything else advertising a free UFC Riyadh stream is unlicensed. Free on AgentMMA: the full fight card, fighter records, market odds, results and free picks.

What time does UFC Riyadh start?

UFC Fight Night takes place on Saturday, December 5, 2026 at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Exact start times for the early prelims, prelims and main card are confirmed closer to fight night and appear here as soon as the schedule feed publishes them.

Where can I watch Adesanya vs Magomedov?

Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov is the UFC Riyadh main event, so it goes out inside the main card on whichever broadcaster holds the rights in your country — no single bout gets its own stream. What AgentMMA adds before the walkouts: the Israel Adesanya vs Shara Magomedov stats comparison, market odds and the AgentMMA AI pick.

Host city/Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

UFC Riyadh: events, venues and what's next

Riyadh has hosted 2 UFC events, from June 2024 through February 2025.

Where is UFC Riyadh taking place?

UFC Fight Night takes place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia on Sat, Dec 5, 2026.

Has the UFC been to Riyadh before?

Riyadh has hosted 2 UFC events, from June 2024 through February 2025.

When is the next UFC event in Riyadh?

No further Riyadh card has been announced yet. This page reads the live UFC schedule, so it updates the moment one is added.

See every UFC event in Riyadh

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