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UFC Fight Night
Dec 5, 2026• In 28 daysRiyadh, Saudi Arabia
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Pavel Andrusca 3.3 SLpM, Mahammadali Osmanli 2.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Pavel Andrusca 47%, Mahammadali Osmanli 46%
  • Damage Avoidance: Pavel Andrusca 1.9 abs/min, Mahammadali Osmanli 2.6 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Pavel Andrusca 21%, Mahammadali Osmanli —
  • Takedown Defense: Pavel Andrusca —, Mahammadali Osmanli 50%
  • Submission Threat: Pavel Andrusca 1.0 per 15m, Mahammadali Osmanli —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Pavel Andrusca
Mahammadali Osmanli

Pavel Andrusca vs Mahammadali Osmanli AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Pavel Andrusca vs Mahammadali Osmanli

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Pavel Andrusca
1-0UFC Record
Decision (100%)
Mahammadali Osmanli
0-1UFC Record
Losses (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Takedown Accuracy21%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy46%
Takedown Defense50%

Last Opponents

Pavel Andrusca
Mahammadali Osmanli

Mahammadali Osmanli lost his last fight on a knee he landed. Pavel Andrusca kept his unbeaten record with a unanimous decision over Nathaniel Wood. When they meet in Riyadh, watch what happens to Osmanli’s straight left the first time Andrusca gets low enough to grab his lead leg. Osmanli caught Ilimbek Akylbek with an illegal knee while Akylbek was down and got disqualified in the opening round.

Key Storylines
  • Osmanli landed the knee against Akylbek and lost the fight.
  • Andrusca took Nathaniel Wood the distance and kept his unbeaten record.
  • Osmanli’s lead foot can open the left hand or invite a shot.
Finishing Window

The opening round could break open on the way up from a failed shot, when one man lets go to punch and the other is still reaching for a grip.

That fight tells us little about how much snap Osmanli would have left in his punches after a few rounds of digging for underhooks. Andrusca at least had to keep working all the way to the final horn against Wood. Here’s where their feet come in. Osmanli is a southpaw, so if he gets his right foot outside Andrusca’s left, he has a clean lane for his left hand and room to turn out after he throws.

If he leans over that front knee to squeeze a little more reach out of the punch, though, Andrusca has a leg right there for the taking. Andrusca goes after enough takedowns that even a failed shot is worth watching. If Osmanli pulls his leg free but has to hop all the way back to the fence to do it, where does he find the space to throw that left again?

Pavel Andrusca vs Mahammadali Osmanli Stats Comparison

Age
24
•
22
Height
5'7" (170 cm)
•
—
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
•
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
66" (168 cm)
•
—
Stance
Orthodox
•
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Pavel Andrusca vs Mahammadali Osmanli AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.7 significant strikes/min

Pavel Andrusca averages 3.3 significant strikes per minute while Mahammadali Osmanli sits at 2.6.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

Pavel Andrusca vs Mahammadali Osmanli stats: last 5 UFC fights vs career

How each fighter's last five UFC fights compare with their full UFC career.

Pavel Andrusca
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record1-0-01-0-0
Wins inside the distance0 (0%)0 (0%)
KO/TKO wins00
Submission wins00
Average fight time15:0015:00
Total strikes landed per min4.604.60
Takedowns landed per 15 min4.004.00
Control time per 15 min6:066:06
Mahammadali Osmanli
MetricLast 5UFC career
Record0-1-00-1-0
Wins inside the distance——
KO/TKO wins00
Submission wins00
Average fight time2:192:19
Total strikes landed per min19.8619.86
Takedowns landed per 15 min0.000.00
Control time per 15 min0:000:00

UFC bouts only, as of November 7, 2026. Per-minute rates use only bouts with round-by-round stats: Pavel Andrusca 1/1, Mahammadali Osmanli 1/1.

Pavel Andrusca and Mahammadali Osmanli: common opponents

Pavel Andrusca and Mahammadali Osmanli have no common UFC opponents yet.

Pavel Andrusca: last 5 UFC fights

  1. WinNathaniel WoodDecision – Unanimous· UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · Sep 2026

Mahammadali Osmanli: last 5 UFC fights

  1. LossIlimbek AkylbekDQ, R1· UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · Sep 2026

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Pavel Andrusca and Mahammadali Osmanli, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Pavel Andrusca vs Mahammadali Osmanli.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Andrusca vs Osmanli odds

Live Polymarket odds for Pavel Andrusca vs Mahammadali Osmanli are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Andrusca vs Osmanli

Pavel Andrusca vs Mahammadali Osmanli is on the UFC Fight Night card on Dec 5, 2026 at Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Andrusca vs Osmanli: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

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