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UFC 334
Nov 14, 2026• In 40 daysMadison Square Garden, New York City, New York, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

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Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: Melquizael Costa 4.3 SLpM, Jared Gordon 5.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: Melquizael Costa 47%, Jared Gordon 53%
  • Damage Avoidance: Melquizael Costa 3.2 abs/min, Jared Gordon 4.1 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: Melquizael Costa 35%, Jared Gordon 32%
  • Takedown Defense: Melquizael Costa 50%, Jared Gordon 60%
  • Submission Threat: Melquizael Costa 0.8 per 15m, Jared Gordon —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Melquizael Costa
Jared Gordon

Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Melquizael Costa
7-3UFC Record
KO/TKO (22%)
Sub (22%)
Decision (33%)
Losses (23%)
Jared Gordon
9-8UFC Record
KO/TKO (23%)
Decision (46%)
Losses (31%)
No Contest (1)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance76%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy53%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense60%
Cardio & Endurance75%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Melquizael Costa
Jared Gordon

Melquizael Costa brought some nasty kicks to his wins over Morgan Charriere and Dan Ige, and that is the first thing to watch against Jared Gordon at UFC 334. Both finishes came in round 1, with a head kick against Charriere and a spinning back kick against Ige. Then Arnold Allen took him through 5 rounds and beat him by unanimous decision. Gordon also comes in with something to fix after consecutive losses to Rafa Garcia and Jim Miller. Garcia stopped him with elbows from side control, while Miller caught a guillotine from bottom guard in round 1.

Key Storylines
  • Costa returns after Allen halted a run of nasty finishes.
  • Gordon needs a reset after consecutive losses to Garcia and Miller.
  • Kicking room and clean entries could decide where this gets messy.
Finishing Window

Round 1 is the likeliest flashpoint because both have finished opponents there and rushed entries can open dangerous gaps.

But remember the Thiago Moises fight: Gordon ended that one with a punch at distance in round 1, so treating him as harmless would be a mistake. Here's the thing: Costa needs room to get those kicks moving, while Gordon cannot afford to rush into range without a clean entry. Gordon's finish of Mark Madsen with a clinch punch gives him a reason to seek closer exchanges, but simply getting close does not solve everything. His recent ground losses make safe positioning and keeping his neck protected a real part of this matchup.

At Madison Square Garden, both are trying to change the conversation after a loss. Watch who controls the space first, because the route from kicking range to the clinch could get messy fast.

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Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon Stats Comparison

Age
30
•
38
Height
5'10" (178 cm)
•
5'9" (175 cm)
Weight
145 lbs (66 kg)
•
155 lbs (70 kg)
Reach
71" (180 cm)
•
68" (173 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
•
Orthodox
AI Division Rank
—
•
—
Status
Contender
•
Contender

Key Insights: Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon AI Analysis

Pace delta

+1.3 significant strikes/min

Jared Gordon averages 5.6 significant strikes per minute while Melquizael Costa sits at 4.3.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Melquizael Costa and Jared Gordon, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Costa vs Gordon odds

Live Polymarket odds for Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

Where to watch Costa vs Gordon

Melquizael Costa vs Jared Gordon is on the UFC 334 card on Nov 14, 2026 at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York, United States. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Costa vs Gordon: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.

Related UFC AI Insights

More free UFC AI insights and fight analysis for upcoming events