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UFC Record Breakdown
Alden "Cobra" Coria is riding high with back to back wins, and the dude's finishing power is legit. He knocked out Alessandro Costa with punches in the third round last September, then went the distance against Luis Gurule in February, landing 96 strikes and controlling the pace. That's two straight in the UFC, and he's looking to make it three against a guy who's had a rough go lately. Stewart "Kakamora" Nicoll is in a tough spot right now. The Aussie from Broz Martial Arts has dropped three straight, including a brutal body shot KO loss to that same Alessandro Costa back in April.
Coria's last two finishes came in round three, so expect him to pour it on late if this one's still going.
Before that, he got submitted by Jesus Aguilar in under three minutes at UFC 305 in his home country of Australia. When you look at his last fight against Costa, he landed 47 strikes but couldn't get anything going on the ground, missing all five takedown attempts. This is a classic striker versus someone who needs to figure things out fast. Coria's been landing at a solid 50% clip and mixing in just enough wrestling to keep guys honest. Nicoll's struggled with accuracy, hitting only 33% against Lucas Rocha and 47% against Costa.
The Australian's also been getting taken down and controlled, which doesn't bode well against a guy finding his rhythm. For Nicoll, this is basically a must win situation. Three losses in the UFC is dangerous territory, and he needs to show something different than what we've seen. Coria's got the momentum and the confidence of a guy who knows he's figuring this level out.
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Stewart Nicoll breakdown
Stewart Nicoll's recent form
Alden "Cobra" Coria is riding high with back to back wins, and the dude's finishing power is legit. He knocked out Alessandro Costa with punches in the third round last September, then went the distance against Luis Gurule in February, landing 96 strikes and controlling the pace. That's two straight in the UFC, and he's looking to make it three against a guy who's had a rough go lately. Stewart "Kakamora" Nicoll is in a tough spot right now. The Aussie from Broz Martial Arts has dropped three straight, including a brutal body shot KO loss to that same Alessandro Costa back in April.
Coria's last two finishes came in round three, so expect him to pour it on late if this one's still going.
Before that, he got submitted by Jesus Aguilar in under three minutes at UFC 305 in his home country of Australia. When you look at his last fight against Costa, he landed 47 strikes but couldn't get anything going on the ground, missing all five takedown attempts. This is a classic striker versus someone who needs to figure things out fast. Coria's been landing at a solid 50% clip and mixing in just enough wrestling to keep guys honest. Nicoll's struggled with accuracy, hitting only 33% against Lucas Rocha and 47% against Costa.
The Australian's also been getting taken down and controlled, which doesn't bode well against a guy finding his rhythm. For Nicoll, this is basically a must win situation. Three losses in the UFC is dangerous territory, and he needs to show something different than what we've seen. Coria's got the momentum and the confidence of a guy who knows he's figuring this level out.
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Alden Coria finish map
Alden Coria breakdown
Alden Coria's recent form
Pace delta
+1.1 significant strikes/min
Alden Coria averages 4.7 significant strikes per minute while Stewart Nicoll sits at 3.6.
AI confidence
87%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Stewart Nicoll vs Alden Coria odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
