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Daniil Donchenko is riding serious momentum into this one. He just put on a clinic against Alex Morono back in February, winning every round on all three scorecards. Before that, he starched Rodrigo Sezinando in the first round with punches in San Antonio. Two straight wins, both looking sharp, and he's clearly finding his groove in the UFC welterweight division. Andreas "Bane" Gustafsson is coming off a rough night though.
First round is crucial for Gustafsson to prove that knockout was a fluke, while Donchenko has shown he can finish early or grind late.
Rinat Fakhretdinov caught him with punches in the clinch and finished him in under a minute back in September in Paris. That's a tough way to lose, especially after he'd just beaten Khaos Williams by decision at UFC 316. So we've got a guy on a two fight streak against a guy looking to bounce back from a brutal knockout. Here's the thing about this matchup. Both guys are orthodox strikers, so it's gonna come down to who can impose their game.
Donchenko has shown he can go three hard rounds and he's got finishing power when he smells blood. Gustafsson out of Vasteras Fight Club has proven he can hang with dangerous strikers like Williams, but that Fakhretdinov loss is gonna be in the back of his mind. Can he shake off that quick finish, or is Donchenko gonna keep rolling?
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Andreas Gustafsson's recent form
Daniil Donchenko is riding serious momentum into this one. He just put on a clinic against Alex Morono back in February, winning every round on all three scorecards. Before that, he starched Rodrigo Sezinando in the first round with punches in San Antonio. Two straight wins, both looking sharp, and he's clearly finding his groove in the UFC welterweight division. Andreas "Bane" Gustafsson is coming off a rough night though.
First round is crucial for Gustafsson to prove that knockout was a fluke, while Donchenko has shown he can finish early or grind late.
Rinat Fakhretdinov caught him with punches in the clinch and finished him in under a minute back in September in Paris. That's a tough way to lose, especially after he'd just beaten Khaos Williams by decision at UFC 316. So we've got a guy on a two fight streak against a guy looking to bounce back from a brutal knockout. Here's the thing about this matchup. Both guys are orthodox strikers, so it's gonna come down to who can impose their game.
Donchenko has shown he can go three hard rounds and he's got finishing power when he smells blood. Gustafsson out of Vasteras Fight Club has proven he can hang with dangerous strikers like Williams, but that Fakhretdinov loss is gonna be in the back of his mind. Can he shake off that quick finish, or is Donchenko gonna keep rolling?
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Daniil Donchenko finish map
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Daniil Donchenko's recent form
Pace delta
+1.3 significant strikes/min
Daniil Donchenko averages 7.2 significant strikes per minute while Andreas Gustafsson sits at 5.8.
AI confidence
81%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
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Andreas Gustafsson vs Daniil Donchenko odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
