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UFC Record Breakdown
Damian Pinas is trying to make noise in his UFC debut, and he's coming in hot. The Baba Yaga just starched Wes Schultz in the first round back in February, landing a clean punch at distance that ended things at 2:30. That's the kind of statement you want to make when you're the new guy. Now he's getting thrown straight into the fire against a Brazilian striker who knows what it takes to survive in this division. Cesar Almeida has been through the wars lately, and it shows in his record.
Both guys have shown they can end fights early with punches, so don't blink in the first round.
He knocked out Abdul Razak Alhassan with a first round punch in January 2025, showing he's still got that power. But then he dropped a unanimous decision to Cezary Oleksiejczuk in December, losing every round on all three cards. Before that, he had that tough split decision loss to Roman Kopylov back in June 2024. The guy's been in some battles, and you can see he's figuring out the UFC middleweight puzzle one fight at a time. Both these dudes are orthodox strikers who like to work at distance and throw heat.
Pinas was super accurate against Schultz, landing 73% of his strikes before getting the finish. Almeida showed serious volume against Ihor Potieria, throwing 137 strikes and landing 78 of them over three rounds. Neither guy is looking for takedowns, they want to stand and bang. This is about who can impose their timing and land the cleaner shots when it matters.
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Cesar Almeida breakdown
Cesar Almeida's recent form
Damian Pinas is trying to make noise in his UFC debut, and he's coming in hot. The Baba Yaga just starched Wes Schultz in the first round back in February, landing a clean punch at distance that ended things at 2:30. That's the kind of statement you want to make when you're the new guy. Now he's getting thrown straight into the fire against a Brazilian striker who knows what it takes to survive in this division. Cesar Almeida has been through the wars lately, and it shows in his record.
Both guys have shown they can end fights early with punches, so don't blink in the first round.
He knocked out Abdul Razak Alhassan with a first round punch in January 2025, showing he's still got that power. But then he dropped a unanimous decision to Cezary Oleksiejczuk in December, losing every round on all three cards. Before that, he had that tough split decision loss to Roman Kopylov back in June 2024. The guy's been in some battles, and you can see he's figuring out the UFC middleweight puzzle one fight at a time. Both these dudes are orthodox strikers who like to work at distance and throw heat.
Pinas was super accurate against Schultz, landing 73% of his strikes before getting the finish. Almeida showed serious volume against Ihor Potieria, throwing 137 strikes and landing 78 of them over three rounds. Neither guy is looking for takedowns, they want to stand and bang. This is about who can impose their timing and land the cleaner shots when it matters.
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Damian Pinas finish map
Damian Pinas breakdown
Damian Pinas's recent form
Pace delta
+4.0 significant strikes/min
Damian Pinas averages 7.5 significant strikes per minute while Cesar Almeida sits at 3.5.
AI confidence
76%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Cesar Almeida vs Damian Pinas odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
