Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa

May 16, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

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Malcolm Wellmaker

Record: 10-2-0

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Juan Diaz

Record: 16-1-1

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Malcolm Wellmaker

Juan Diaz

Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

Malcolm Wellmaker

Juan Diaz

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

Malcolm Wellmaker

KO/TKO (67%)

Losses (33%)

Juan Diaz

Sub (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense46%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ85%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency62%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

Malcolm Wellmaker

Juan Diaz

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From opening bell, Malcolm Wellmaker can dictate pace in the pocket, averaging 4.6 significant strikes per minute while Juan Diaz looks to settle behind counters. Expect the red corner to test range with layered entries that neutralize the Orthodox stance angles.

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares how each fighter can win the pace and position battle, then reveals the selected verdict and supporting evidence after access is unlocked.

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Malcolm Wellmaker

Malcolm Wellmaker finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

KO/TKO (67%)

Losses (33%)

Malcolm Wellmaker breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy55%

Grappling Efficiency50%

Takedown Defense46%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ85%

Malcolm Wellmaker's recent form

Key Storylines

First three minutes decide who dictates range and tempo.
Red corner pressure vs blue corner counter traps will frame the striking narrative.
Premium analysis examines the momentum swings most likely to decide control.

Finishing Window

Premium analysis covers whether a credible finish window emerges from the pace, striking, and grappling matchup.

The premium breakdown compares the pace and position battle before revealing the selected verdict and supporting evidence. Juan Diaz must answer with clinch resets and smart cage craft to stay competitive.

Juan Diaz owns the cleaner takedown mechanics (50%) but must solve the 46% sprawl from Malcolm Wellmaker.

The premium breakdown assesses late-round cardio, composure and volatility before assigning an edge. Unlock it to see which verified factors carry the most weight in this matchup.

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Juan Diaz finish map

UFC Record Breakdown

Sub (100%)

Juan Diaz breakdown

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy41%

Grappling Efficiency62%

Cardio & Endurance70%

Fight IQ80%

Juan Diaz's recent form

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz Stats Comparison

Age

•

Height

5'10" (178 cm)

•

5'8" (173 cm)

Weight

135 lbs (61 kg)

•

135 lbs (61 kg)

Reach

71" (180 cm)

•

69" (175 cm)

Stance

Switch

•

Orthodox

AI Division Rank

—

•

—

Status

Contender

•

Contender

Key Insights: Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz AI Analysis

Pace delta

+0.9 significant strikes/min

Malcolm Wellmaker averages 4.6 significant strikes per minute while Juan Diaz sits at 3.7.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare Malcolm Wellmaker and Juan Diaz, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Wellmaker vs Diaz odds

When Polymarket opens a market for Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz, live odds and their price history appear on this page.

Until odds are live, explore the AI prediction and verified fighter stats — the page updates automatically once the betting market opens.

Where to watch Wellmaker vs Diaz

Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz is on the UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa card on May 16, 2026 at Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The bout goes out inside that card on the official UFC broadcaster or streaming service for your country — UFC Fight Pass and the UFC schedule show who holds the rights where you are. AgentMMA is not a broadcaster and never hosts or links to fight streams.

There is no legal free stream of a full UFC main card in most countries — broadcaster free trials, free-to-air coverage in a handful of markets and the occasional early prelim on the UFC's official channels are the legitimate exceptions. Free here for Wellmaker vs Diaz: the tale of the tape, verified stats, market odds and community picks.