UFC Record Breakdown
Alice Ardelean is riding some serious momentum right now. She's won back to back fights, grinding out unanimous decisions over Rayanne dos Santos and Montserrat Conejo Ruiz. The Romanian's been throwing crazy volume, landing 146 strikes in that last win. She's finding her groove in the UFC after dropping those tough split and unanimous decisions to Shauna Bannon and Melissa Martinez. Polyana Viana is in a rough spot though. The Brazilian's dropped three straight, and they've all been finishes.
If Viana's going to turn this around, it happens early before Ardelean settles into her rhythm and starts piling up strikes.
Jaqueline Amorim caught her with a rear naked choke, Gillian Robertson stopped her with ground and pound from back control, and Iasmin Lucindo locked up an arm triangle. Before this skid, she was starching people, remember that 47 second knockout of Jinh Yu Frey? That power is still there. This matchup is all about whether Ardelean can keep it standing and work her volume game. She's been landing over 100 strikes per fight lately, mixing it up with decent striking accuracy. Viana's dangerous if she can close distance and get this to the mat, but her takedown defense has been a problem.
When she's on bottom, bad things happen. Ardelean needs this to stay a kickboxing match where she can pile up points. Viana needs to find that old aggression and either land something big standing or drag this to the ground. One fighter's trying to build a streak, the other's desperate to stop the bleeding.
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Alice Ardelean finish map

Alice Ardelean breakdown
Alice Ardelean's recent form
Alice Ardelean is riding some serious momentum right now. She's won back to back fights, grinding out unanimous decisions over Rayanne dos Santos and Montserrat Conejo Ruiz. The Romanian's been throwing crazy volume, landing 146 strikes in that last win. She's finding her groove in the UFC after dropping those tough split and unanimous decisions to Shauna Bannon and Melissa Martinez. Polyana Viana is in a rough spot though. The Brazilian's dropped three straight, and they've all been finishes.
If Viana's going to turn this around, it happens early before Ardelean settles into her rhythm and starts piling up strikes.
Jaqueline Amorim caught her with a rear naked choke, Gillian Robertson stopped her with ground and pound from back control, and Iasmin Lucindo locked up an arm triangle. Before this skid, she was starching people, remember that 47 second knockout of Jinh Yu Frey? That power is still there. This matchup is all about whether Ardelean can keep it standing and work her volume game. She's been landing over 100 strikes per fight lately, mixing it up with decent striking accuracy. Viana's dangerous if she can close distance and get this to the mat, but her takedown defense has been a problem.
When she's on bottom, bad things happen. Ardelean needs this to stay a kickboxing match where she can pile up points. Viana needs to find that old aggression and either land something big standing or drag this to the ground. One fighter's trying to build a streak, the other's desperate to stop the bleeding.
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Polyana Viana breakdown
Polyana Viana's recent form
Pace delta
+4.6 significant strikes/min
Alice Ardelean averages 7.3 significant strikes per minute while Polyana Viana sits at 2.7.
AI confidence
77%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.