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UFC Record Breakdown
Shauna Bannon is coming off a tough night in Paris where Sam Hughes caught her in a rear naked choke back in September. Before that loss, the Irish switch stance fighter was on a nice little run with back to back submission wins, including that slick armbar from bottom guard against Puja Tomar in London. Bannon's got that dangerous ground game that can catch you sleeping, and she's shown she can hang in the striking department too, landing 151 strikes in her split decision win over Alice Ardelean at UFC 304. Nicolle Caliari is in a rough spot right now, dropping her last two fights in the UFC.
If Bannon gets this to the mat in rounds two or three, that's when her submission game becomes really dangerous.
She got stopped by a brutal body knee from Carli Judice in New Orleans back in July, then lost a split decision to Ernesta Kareckaite in January. The Brazilian's been struggling to put it together at flyweight, and now she's moving down to strawweight to face Bannon. That's a big adjustment when you're already trying to snap a losing streak. This matchup comes down to whether Bannon can impose her grappling game or if Caliari can keep it standing and use her range.
Bannon's got the momentum edge despite that last loss, she's been finishing fights and showing real growth. Caliari needs this one badly, two losses is tough but three straight puts you in serious danger. The weight cut could be a factor too, dropping down a division when you're desperate for a win is always risky.
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Unlock full analysisShauna Bannon finish map
Shauna Bannon breakdown
Shauna Bannon's recent form
Shauna Bannon is coming off a tough night in Paris where Sam Hughes caught her in a rear naked choke back in September. Before that loss, the Irish switch stance fighter was on a nice little run with back to back submission wins, including that slick armbar from bottom guard against Puja Tomar in London. Bannon's got that dangerous ground game that can catch you sleeping, and she's shown she can hang in the striking department too, landing 151 strikes in her split decision win over Alice Ardelean at UFC 304. Nicolle Caliari is in a rough spot right now, dropping her last two fights in the UFC.
If Bannon gets this to the mat in rounds two or three, that's when her submission game becomes really dangerous.
She got stopped by a brutal body knee from Carli Judice in New Orleans back in July, then lost a split decision to Ernesta Kareckaite in January. The Brazilian's been struggling to put it together at flyweight, and now she's moving down to strawweight to face Bannon. That's a big adjustment when you're already trying to snap a losing streak. This matchup comes down to whether Bannon can impose her grappling game or if Caliari can keep it standing and use her range.
Bannon's got the momentum edge despite that last loss, she's been finishing fights and showing real growth. Caliari needs this one badly, two losses is tough but three straight puts you in serious danger. The weight cut could be a factor too, dropping down a division when you're desperate for a win is always risky.
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Unlock full analysisNicolle Caliari finish map
Nicolle Caliari breakdown
Nicolle Caliari's recent form
Pace delta
+0.9 significant strikes/min
Shauna Bannon averages 4.3 significant strikes per minute while Nicolle Caliari sits at 3.5.
AI confidence
91%
Probability weighting from the AgentMMA simulator.
Finish radar
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Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari odds: this page includes live Polymarket odds for this matchup.
