UFC Fight Night
Sep 12, 2026In 48 daysDesert Diamond Arena, Glendale, Arizona, United States
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Fighter Performance Comparison

POWERED BY AGENTMMA.COM

Fighters' Core Metrics

  • Striking Volume: JJ Aldrich 4.0 SLpM, Regina Tarin 7.6 SLpM
  • Striking Accuracy: JJ Aldrich 47%, Regina Tarin 47%
  • Damage Avoidance: JJ Aldrich 4.3 abs/min, Regina Tarin 7.0 abs/min
  • Takedown Accuracy: JJ Aldrich 26%, Regina Tarin 33%
  • Takedown Defense: JJ Aldrich 67%, Regina Tarin 50%
  • Submission Threat: JJ Aldrich —, Regina Tarin —
Performance Snapshot

Fighters' Core Metrics

JJ Aldrich
Regina Tarin

JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin AI Insight & Prediction: Expert Analysis & Fight Breakdown

AgentMMA AI Breakdown

How AgentMMA breaks down JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin

Finish Maps

UFC Record Breakdown

JJ Aldrich
11-6UFC Record
KO/TKO (7%)
Decision (67%)
Losses (26%)
Regina Tarin
1-0UFC Record
Decision (100%)

Performance Stats

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense67%
Cardio & Endurance79%
Fight IQ75%

Performance Breakdown

Striking Accuracy47%
Grappling Efficiency45%
Takedown Defense50%
Cardio & Endurance85%
Fight IQ80%

Last Opponents

JJ Aldrich
Regina Tarin

Both these southpaws are coming in hot, and this flyweight scrap at Noche UFC is all about who can impose their game first. JJ Aldrich just put together back to back wins over Andrea Lee and Jamey-Lyn Horth, showing she's figured something out in this division. Regina Tarin walked into Mexico City in February and put on a striking clinic against Ernesta Kareckaite, landing 125 strikes and looking super comfortable in the pocket. Here's the thing though.

Key Storylines
  • Aldrich riding two straight wins into Noche UFC
  • Tarin's volume striking vs Aldrich's finishing instincts
  • Southpaw mirror match creates tricky angles all night
Finishing Window

If Aldrich finds a way to hurt Tarin in the second or third round, those elbows from back control could show up again.

Aldrich has been grinding out decisions lately, but don't sleep on her finishing ability. She stopped Liang Na with nasty elbows from the back in Singapore back in 2023, showing she's dangerous when she gets you hurt. Tarin's only UFC appearance so far was all about volume striking and staying busy for 15 minutes. She threw 250 strikes in that fight, which is wild for flyweight.

The matchup comes down to whether Aldrich can make this ugly and find those big moments, or if Tarin can keep it at range and pile up the volume like she did against Kareckaite. Both are southpaws so the angles are gonna be interesting, and neither one backs down from a firefight. Aldrich landed 52 strikes against Horth but only connected at 34 percent, while Tarin was hitting at 50 percent in her debut. This is a huge spot for Tarin to prove she belongs in the deep end of this division, while Aldrich is trying to keep her momentum rolling and push toward that top 15.

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JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin Stats Comparison

Age
33
21
Height
5'5" (165 cm)
5'7" (170 cm)
Weight
125 lbs (57 kg)
135 lbs (61 kg)
Reach
67" (170 cm)
66" (168 cm)
Stance
Southpaw
Southpaw
AI Division Rank
Status
Contender
Contender

Key Insights: JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin AI Analysis

Pace delta

+3.6 significant strikes/min

Regina Tarin averages 7.6 significant strikes per minute while JJ Aldrich sits at 4.0.

Finish radar

The model flags a possible finish window. Unlock the supporting breakdown.

AgentMMA layers opponent strength, strike tempo, and grappling leverage to forecast this fight. Compare JJ Aldrich and Regina Tarin, then unlock the round-by-round analysis and key factors.

AI War Room Preview

AgentMMA's model flagged a matchup edge. Unlock the full breakdown, model score, and supporting factors for JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin.

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Model score and full reasoning inside

Aldrich vs Tarin odds

Live Polymarket odds for JJ Aldrich vs Regina Tarin are available on this page — the chart tracks how the market has moved ahead of the fight.

Odds update automatically as Polymarket prices move, and the market link sits next to the prediction. Compare the betting odds with the AgentMMA AI pick and verified fighter stats before you weigh the matchup.

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